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Federal Crop and Livestock Insurance Programs and What’s Changing in 2025

By Craig Horsch, Consultant, Young & Associates

Overview of Federal Crop & Livestock Insurance Programs

Federal Crop Insurance and Federal Livestock Insurance are supplemental insurances that cover losses which are unavoidable and caused by naturally occurring events. They do not cover losses resulting from negligence or failure to follow good farming practices related to crops and/or livestock.

Federal Crop Insurance Programs include three main programs—Price Loss Coverage (PLC), Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC), and the Marketing Assistance Loan Program (MALP)—as well as the Whole-Farm Revenue Protection Plan 2025 (WFRP), per the USDA Risk Management Agency. These programs are briefly described below:

  • PLC Overview:

    PLC program payments are issued when the effective price of a covered commodity is less than the effective reference price for that commodity. The effective price is defined as the higher of the market year average price (MYA) or the national average loan rate for the covered commodity. PLC payments are made to owners of historical base acres and are not tied to the current production of covered commodities. Covered commodities include wheat, corn, sorghum, barley, oats, seed cotton, long- and medium-grain rice, certain pulses, soybeans/other oilseeds, and peanuts.

  • ARC Overview:

    There are two types of Agriculture Risk Coverage: Agriculture Risk Coverage–County (ARC-CO) and Agriculture Risk Coverage–Individual (ARC-IC).

    • The ARC-CO program provides income support tied to the same historical base acres—not current production—of covered commodities. ARC-CO payments are issued when the actual county crop revenue of a covered commodity is less than the county ARC-CO guarantee for that commodity.
    • ARC-IC provides income support based on a farm’s revenue from current production of covered commodities, compared with a benchmark average of that farm’s production of those commodities. However, payments are limited to a portion of the farm’s historical base acres. This page focuses on ARC-CO; the ARC-IC program has not been widely adopted.
  • MALP Overview:

    The MALP allows producers to use eligible commodities they have produced as collateral for government-issued loans. Eligible commodities include wheat, corn, sorghum, barley, oats, upland and extra-long-staple cotton, long- and medium-grain rice, soybeans and other oilseeds, certain pulses, peanuts, sugar, honey, wool, and mohair.

  • WFRP Overview:

    WFRP insurance provides coverage against the loss of revenue that you expect to earn or obtain from commodities you produce or purchase for resale during the insurance period, all under a single insurance policy. WFRP offers benefits such as:

    • A range of coverage levels from 50% to 85% to fit the needs of more farming and ranching operations;
    • Replant coverage for annual crops, except Industrial Hemp;
    • The ability to consider market readiness costs as part of the insured revenue;
    • Provisions to adjust the insurance guarantee to better fit expanding operations;
    • An improved timeline for farming operations that operate as fiscal year filers; and
    • Streamlined underwriting procedures based on the forms used for WFRP.WFRP is designed to meet the needs of highly diverse farms that grow a wide range of commodities and sell to wholesale markets. The WFRP policy was specifically developed for farms that market directly to local or regional buyers, sell through identity-preserved channels, and produce specialty crops, animals, and animal products. The amount of farm revenue you can protect with WFRP insurance is the lower of the revenue expected on your current year’s farm plan or your five-year average historic income, adjusted for growth. This represents an insurable revenue amount that can reasonably be expected to be produced on your farm during the insurance period. All commodities produced by the farm are covered under WFRP, except timber, forest and forest products, and animals used for sport, show, or as pets.It is important to understand that WFRP covers revenue produced during the insurance period. For example, if a calf weighs 800 pounds at the beginning of the insurance period and is sold at 1,200 pounds during the insurance period, the value of production will be the additional 400 pounds gained. Inventory adjustments are used to remove production from previous years and to add revenue for production that has not yet been harvested or sold.

Understanding USDA Livestock Insurance Programs

Per the USDA Risk Management Agency website, the Federal Livestock Insurance Programs are as follows:

  • Livestock Gross Margin – Cattle:

    The LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of livestock minus feeder cattle and feed costs) on cattle. The indemnity at the end of the 11-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy uses futures prices to determine both the expected and actual gross margins. Adjustments to futures prices are based on state- and month-specific basis levels. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Eligible producers are those who own cattle in the states of Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Only cattle sold for commercial or private slaughter—primarily intended for human consumption—and fed in one of the eligible states are covered under the LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy.

  • Livestock Gross Margin – Dairy Cattle:

    The LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of milk minus feed costs) on milk produced from dairy cows. The indemnity at the end of the eleven-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy uses futures prices for corn, soybean meal, and milk to determine the expected and actual gross margins. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Any producer who owns dairy cattle in the contiguous 48 states is eligible for LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy coverage. Only milk sold for commercial or private sale—primarily intended for final human consumption—from dairy cattle fed in any of the eligible states is covered under this policy.

  • Livestock Gross Margin – Swine:

    The LGM for Swine Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of livestock minus feed costs) on swine. The indemnity at the end of the 6-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Swine Insurance Policy uses futures prices to determine both the expected and actual gross margins. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Any producer who owns swine in the 48 contiguous states is eligible for LGM for Swine insurance coverage. Only swine sold for commercial or private slaughter—primarily intended for human consumption—and fed in the 48 contiguous states are eligible for coverage under the LGM for Swine Insurance Policy.

 

Policy Outlook: Projected Spending Impacts of Proposed PLC and ARC-CO Changes

In light of potential 2025 farm policy changes, the article “Spending Impacts of PLC and ARC-CO in the House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill” by Schnitkey, Paulson, Coppess (University of Illinois), and Zulauf (Ohio State University), published in farmdoc daily, offers valuable insight into the budgetary and structural implications of proposed revisions to two cornerstone commodity programs: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and Agricultural Risk Coverage at the County Level (ARC-CO).

Key Proposed Changes

Under the House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill, four primary changes to PLC and ARC-CO are proposed:

1. Statutory Reference Price Increases:

From 2025 to 2030, statutory reference prices for major program crops would increase—for example, from $3.70 to $4.10 per bushel for corn (an 11% increase), from $8.40 to $10.00 for soybeans (19%), and from $5.50 to $6.35 for wheat (15%). Similar increases are also proposed for seed cotton, rice, and peanuts (Schnitkey et al., 2025, Table 1).

2. PLC Payment Floor Adjustments:

The bill proposes new price floors for PLC payments—$3.30 for corn and $0.30 per pound for seed cotton—to limit downside price risk. These new thresholds would reduce outlays in low-price environments by capping PLC payment escalation.

3. ARC-CO Enhancements:

Changes to ARC-CO include increasing the coverage level from 86% to 90% and the maximum payment rate from 10% to 12.5% of benchmark revenue, making the program more responsive during periods of reduced revenue.

4. Loan Rate Increases:

The bill also proposes a 10% increase in the loan rates for the six largest program crops, further enhancing the income safety net (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Budgetary and Distributional Impacts

The authors estimate that these program changes would raise federal outlays for PLC, ARC-CO, and marketing loan programs from $46.5 billion to $76.4 billion between 2025 and 2035—a 64% increase (Schnitkey et al., 2025, Table 2). However, this increase is not evenly distributed across commodities or regions:

  • Southern crops—notably peanuts, rice, and seed cotton—would see the largest increases in payments per base acre. In contrast, traditional Midwestern crops such as corn and soybeans would receive more modest increases.
  • For farms with 500 base acres, estimated average annual payments under the proposed changes would be:

This disparity stems from differences in statutory reference prices across crops. Southern crops historically have higher relative reference prices, leading to larger government payments—an imbalance that would be widened under the proposed bill (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Political and Policy Implications

To fund these increased outlays, the House Agriculture Committee is proposing spending reductions from the Nutrition Title, particularly the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). This cost-shifting pits agricultural and nutrition interests against each other and introduces politically sensitive trade-offs that could impact the outcome of future Farm Bill negotiations (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Why This Matters

For agricultural lenders and risk managers, particularly those serving Midwestern crop producers, the proposed updates could affect the farm income landscape, collateral valuations, and overall credit risk. Although support increases are significant for crops like rice and peanuts, the more moderate gains for corn and soybeans mean Midwest producers may see less benefit from the bill in its current form. Understanding the potential outcomes of these policy shifts can help financial institutions refine their risk assessments and prepare clients for what lies ahead.

Staying Ahead in a Changing Agricultural Risk Landscape

As federal crop and livestock insurance programs evolve—and legislative proposals like those in the 2025 House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill signal substantial shifts in farm subsidy distribution—lenders must be prepared to navigate increased complexity in agricultural credit risk. From changes in PLC and ARC to adjustments in federal loan programs and WFRP, these developments have direct implications for borrower cash flow, collateral valuation, and overall lending strategy.

For financial institutions serving agricultural clients, now is the time to reassess risk management frameworks, update lending practices, and evaluate credit exposures in light of these changes.

Young & Associates has deep expertise in agricultural lending and credit risk analysis. Our team can help your institution proactively adapt, with services that include portfolio review, credit risk management consulting, and tailored support for ag-specific lending challenges. Whether you’re seeking to strengthen underwriting processes or prepare for policy-driven shifts in borrower performance, we’re here to help you respond with confidence.

Explore our lending and credit risk consulting services to learn how we can support your institution’s success in this evolving environment.

 

References

Coppess, J., C. Zulauf, G. Schnitkey, N. Paulson and B. Sherrick. “Reviewing the House Agriculture Committee’s Reconciliation Bill.” farmdoc daily (15):89, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, May 14, 2025. Permalink

Kalaitzandonakes, M., B. Ellison, T. Malone and J. Coppess. “Consumers’ Expectations about GLP-1 Drugs Economic Impact on Food System Players.” farmdoc daily (15):49, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, March 14, 2025. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., N. Paulson, C. Zulauf and J. Coppess. “Price Loss Coverage: Evaluation of Proportional Increase in Statutory Reference Price and a Proposal.” farmdoc daily (13):203, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, November 7, 2023. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., C. Zulauf, K. Swanson, J. Coppess and N. Paulson. “The Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Option in the 2018 Farm Bill.” farmdoc daily (9):178, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, September 24, 2019. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., N. Paulson, C. Zulauf and J. Coppess. “Spending Impacts of PLC and ARC-CO in House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill.” farmdoc daily (15):93, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, May 20, 2025. Permalink

The Importance of Field Examinations in Asset-Based Lending

By Ollie Sutherin, Chief Financial Officer, Young & Associates

Asset-based lending (ABL) is a creative financing alternative that will unlock additional working capital for businesses. While it appears more complex than traditional commercial real estate transactions, the appropriate training and education eliminate intimidation. Many community financial institutions tend to avoid ABL opportunities due to the perceived burden of ongoing monitoring. However, with the appropriate due diligence at the outset of a lending relationship, the process becomes significantly more manageable and efficient.

The Reality of Ongoing Monitoring in Asset-Based Lending

Having worked at a small regional bank, I experienced firsthand the detail-oriented process of handling ABL monitoring. Line of credit renewals often relied heavily on borrowing base certificates (BBCs)—many of which lacked accuracy and detail. Field examinations were seldom part of the equation, and decisions were often based on whether the BBC appeared “sufficient” to support the requested loan amount, whether payments were current, and whether principal was being retired in a frequent manner. What was consistently overlooked were several critical elements:

  • Early detection of fraud or irregularities
  • Evaluation of internal operational controls
  • Comprehensive and consistent collateral eligibility testing
  • Longitudinal trend analysis and risk monitoring

Field Exams: A Vital Tool for Risk Mitigation

In today’s competitive lending environment, speed and efficiency are crucial. However, it’s imperative not to sacrifice thorough due diligence for the sake of expediency. Relying solely on BBCs without incorporating periodic field examinations introduces significant risk—risk that could far outweigh the relatively modest cost of performing a field exam. The reality is clear: a field exam provides the lender with a deeper understanding of the borrower’s financial health, operational integrity, and collateral quality. The field exam also provides information that can be used to set appropriate advance rates for the various collateral types.

You Don’t Know What You Don’t Know

One illustrative example comes from a colleague who shared her first field examination experience shortly after completing her training and certification. She was tasked with examining receivables for a large borrower. Drawing on the tools and methodology she had just mastered, she uncovered a serious case of fraud  whereby the borrower was systematically crediting and rebilling invoices once they aged past 90 days. This practice inflated the eligible receivables reported in the BBC and granted the borrower significantly more borrowing availability than permitted.. Without the field exam, this fraud would likely have continued undetected—exposing the financial institution to considerable, non-avoidable risk.

While instances like these may not occur every day, they underscore an essential truth: you don’t know what you don’t know. Field examinations offer lenders a proactive mechanism to confirm the integrity of a borrower’s financial reporting and ensure continued creditworthiness. In asset-based lending, that peace of mind over your relationships far outweighs the small investment.

How Y&A Can Support Your Lending Program

Asset-based lending can open new avenues for community financial institutions, but it also introduces unique risks that require careful, ongoing oversight—particularly through field exams and detailed collateral monitoring. As illustrated, relying solely on surface-level reporting leaves institutions vulnerable to inaccuracies and potential fraud.

Our Y&A Credit Services team provides a wide range of solutions that support strong credit risk management, including credit underwriting, underwriting reviews, and credit administration. These services can help your institution build a solid foundation for managing more complex lending relationships like ABL.

If your team is looking to enhance credit processes, improve documentation quality, or strengthen internal controls, Young & Associates is here to help you prepare—strategically and confidently—for what’s ahead. Reach out to us today for a free consultation.

Key Insights from the OCC Semiannual Risk Perspective (Fall 2024)

Top Trends in Banking Risks

The OCC’s report emphasizes maintaining sound risk management practices to address growing challenges:

  • Fraud Activity: External fraud schemes targeting consumers and banks are rising. Sophisticated tactics, including AI-driven fraud, demand enhanced detection and prevention measures.
  • Credit Risks: Commercial real estate (CRE) remains a focal point, with stress in office and luxury multifamily segments. Retail credit risks are stable but show signs of increased delinquencies in auto loans and credit cards.
  • Operational Risks: Cybersecurity and third-party risks are elevated, reflecting the increasing complexity of the banking environment.
  • Compliance Pressures: Adapting to dynamic regulatory changes and addressing data governance gaps are critical to ensuring compliance.

Fraud and Cybersecurity: A Call for Action

Fraudulent activities targeting the banking system have surged, driven by innovative schemes such as:

  • Wire Transfer Fraud: Fraudsters impersonate trusted entities to steal funds.
  • Check Fraud: Criminals manipulate stolen checks or sell them on dark web platforms.
  • AI-Driven Attacks: Deepfakes and AI-enhanced social engineering pose new threats.

What Banks Can Do:

  • Implement advanced fraud detection systems.
  • Educate customers about fraud prevention.
  • Strengthen authentication and transaction monitoring systems.

Credit Risk: Stabilizing but Uneven

The report identifies pockets of credit risk:

  • Commercial Real Estate (CRE): Stress is evident in the office sector, with rising costs and valuation declines. Multifamily CRE faces challenges from oversupply and increased regulatory expenses.
  • Retail Credit: Stable overall but experiencing increased delinquencies in credit cards and auto loans.

What Banks Can Do:

  • Conduct regular stress testing for CRE portfolios.
  • Enhance monitoring and adjust allowances for credit losses based on emerging risks.

Operational Resilience and Technology Adoption

The banking sector is rapidly digitizing, adopting new technologies to meet evolving customer needs. However, these advancements come with heightened risks:

  • Third-Party Risks: Increased reliance on fintech partnerships expands the cyberattack surface.
  • Legacy System Challenges: Aging infrastructure complicates modernization efforts.
  • AI Adoption: Compliance risks are significant as banks explore advanced AI applications.

What Banks Can Do:

  • Strengthen third-party risk management frameworks.
  • Invest in post-quantum encryption and legacy system upgrades.
  • Implement comprehensive governance for AI-based tools.

Market and Climate-Related Financial Risks

Banks face dual pressures from market dynamics and climate-related risks:

  • Net Interest Margins (NIM): Higher funding costs are compressing margins, requiring strategic adjustments.
  • Climate Impact: Increased natural disasters highlight the importance of climate risk management frameworks.

What Banks Can Do:

  • Focus on liquidity stress testing and modeling depositor behavior.
  • Engage with clients to manage climate-related transition risks effectively.

Economic Outlook: Challenges Ahead

The U.S. economy remains resilient but shows signs of slowing:

  • Housing Market: Affordability issues and “rate lock-in” effects are dampening demand.
  • Consumer Spending: Despite strong spending in 2024, rising costs and a cooling labor market could create headwinds.

Preparation Tips:

  • Monitor consumer credit health closely.
  • Adapt lending standards to evolving economic conditions.

Staying Ahead in a Dynamic Environment

The OCC’s Fall 2024 Semiannual Risk Perspective outlines a roadmap for navigating complex risks in the federal banking system. Financial institutions should prioritize robust fraud prevention, proactive credit risk management, and strategic technology adoption. By addressing these challenges, banks can safeguard their operations and thrive in an ever-changing economic landscape.

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Discover how Young & Associates can help your institution mitigate risks, strengthen compliance, and enhance operational resilience. Contact us today for tailored solutions to navigate these challenges effectively. Sign up for our newsletter to stay informed about industry insights and updates.

2025 Rescission Calendar – Free Download Now Available

The right of rescission, governed by Regulation Z under the Truth in Lending Act (TILA), remains a cornerstone of consumer protection in the lending industry. For financial institutions, ensuring compliance with rescission rules is not only a regulatory requirement but also a reflection of their commitment to protecting borrowers’ rights. However, the intricacies of rescission—covering timing, disclosure requirements, and exceptions—can make this area of compliance challenging for many lenders.

To support your institution in navigating these complexities, Young & Associates is proud to offer a free downloadable Rescission Reference Chart, designed to simplify compliance with rescission rules.

 

What Is the 3 Day Right of Rescission?

The right of rescission provides consumers with the ability to cancel certain credit transactions that involve a lien on their principal dwelling. This cooling-off period, typically three business days, is intended to allow borrowers time to evaluate the terms of their transaction without pressure. While the concept is straightforward, compliance involves navigating strict rules related to timing, notification, and disclosure.

Does Presidential Inauguration Day Affect Rescission Periods?

No. While federal employees in the Washington, DC area are granted a holiday on Presidential Inauguration Day (January 20th), this holiday applies only to those “employed in” the designated Inauguration Day Area and does not affect rescission periods.

According to § 1026.2(a)(6) of Regulation Z, a “business day” for rescission purposes is defined as all calendar days except Sundays and the legal public holidays listed in 5 U.S.C. 6103(a), such as New Year’s Day, Martin Luther King Jr. Day, Washington’s Birthday, and others. Inauguration Day is not among these specified legal public holidays and therefore does not impact rescission timelines.

Common Challenges in Rescission Compliance

Despite its importance, rescission often presents challenges for financial institutions. Here are some common issues:

  1. Identifying Covered Transactions
    Not all transactions are subject to rescission. Determining whether a loan qualifies—such as refinances or home equity lines of credit—requires careful evaluation of loan terms and lien positions.
  2. Proper Timing of the Rescission Period
    The rescission period must be calculated accurately, taking into account business days and excluding holidays. Miscalculations can result in compliance violations.
  3. Providing Accurate and Timely Disclosures
    Borrowers must receive clear and complete rescission notices and required disclosures at the time of closing. Any inaccuracies can extend the rescission period or expose the lender to liability.
  4. Handling Rescission Notices
    If a borrower exercises their right to rescind, lenders must act swiftly to return funds and terminate the lien within 20 calendar days. Delays or errors in this process can lead to penalties.

How Do You Calculate a 3 Day Rescission Period?

The rescission period typically begins the business day following the signing of loan documents and ends at midnight on the third business day.

How the Rescission Calendar Can Help

Young & Associates’ Rescission Reference Chart is a comprehensive tool that simplifies the complexities of rescission compliance. This chart provides:

  • A clear breakdown of covered and exempt transactions.
  • Guidelines for accurately calculating the rescission period.
  • Tips for ensuring proper disclosure and handling rescission notices.

Whether you’re training new staff or refreshing your understanding of rescission rules, this chart offers a practical and easy-to-use resource to enhance your compliance program.

Why Rescission Matters

Non-compliance with rescission rules can result in extended rescission periods, regulatory scrutiny, or even legal action. By ensuring your institution has a solid grasp of rescission requirements, you not only avoid potential risks but also reinforce your reputation as a trusted and reliable lender.

Download Your Free Rescission Reference Chart Today

Young & Associates is dedicated to helping financial institutions like yours maintain compliance while streamlining operations. Our Rescission Reference Chart is just one of the many tools we offer to support your success. Equip your team with the knowledge and tools they need to navigate rescission with confidence. With Y&A by your side, you can focus on serving your customers while staying compliant with ease.

Bridging the Small Business Lending Gap

How Technology Shapes the Future for Community Financial Institutions

By Ollie Sutherin, Chief Financial Officer, Young & Associates

The challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic are no surprise to anyone in the financial services industry, least of all to the small business owners across the country. However, concerns around small business lending were growing well before the pandemic and continue to rise, particularly for community financial institutions (CFIs). The evolution of technology has introduced a unique set of challenges and opportunities for CFIs, often seen as a double-edged sword: it both undermines the traditional values CFIs are known for and opens up a vital path to remaining competitive.

Historically, community financial institutions have built their foundation on personal relationships and tailored, customer-first service. It’s this “high-touch” approach that has endeared CFIs to their communities. However, as a new generation of small business owners emerges, so too does the demand for efficiency, automation, and immediate access to capital. In today’s fast-paced business environment, entrepreneurs are less interested in handshake deals and more focused on solutions that save them time and hassle. This shift in expectations is being effectively capitalized upon by fintech companies and larger financial institutions.

The Rise of Technology in Small Business Lending

For many entrepreneurs, the path to success hinges on one critical element: access to capital. Yet, what was once a deeply relational process—built around trust, face-to-face meetings, and careful consideration—has been revolutionized by technology. Today’s small business owners want quick answers. They want the loan process to be as streamlined and efficient as possible. Fintechs and large banks have answered that call by offering tech-driven solutions that not only provide rapid loan decisions but also reduce administrative burdens on both sides of the equation.

The ability to upload financial documents, run credit checks, and aggregate tax returns through automated platforms has cut out many of the manual processes that used to consume weeks or even months in the lending cycle. Fintech innovations use predefined input criteria to spread tax returns, perform credit analysis, and score loan requests—almost instantly. These advances have reduced the reliance on human loan officers and credit teams, who once reviewed each file manually, often delaying decisions and requiring more information from business owners. This high-tech, low-touch approach is particularly appealing to time-strapped small business owners.

The Technology Investment Gap

While fintechs and large institutions are surging ahead, many community financial institutions are lagging behind in terms of technological investment. A significant factor is the stark difference in budgets allocated to technology. Reports indicate that many CFIs dedicate only 3-5% of their total budget to tech solutions, compared to the 10% or more that larger institutions consistently invest. This discrepancy is further widened when considering that large financial institutions often invest in proprietary technologies that require ongoing development and maintenance, allowing them to stay on the cutting edge.

Fortunately, this doesn’t mean community institutions are left without options. Many vendors now offer solutions tailored specifically to CFIs, and these technological tools can be integrated as add-ons to existing products. These systems give CFIs the ability to provide faster decisions, greater transparency, and a smoother experience for small business clients—all without requiring massive investments in proprietary systems.

The Path Forward for CFIs

So, where does this leave community financial institutions in the rapidly evolving small business lending landscape? The answer lies in striking a balance between the traditional values that define CFIs and the technological advancements necessary to compete in today’s marketplace. CFIs possess a unique advantage that fintechs and large banks cannot easily replicate: a deep connection to their local communities and a personal touch that resonates with customers.

By leveraging technology to streamline processes while preserving the relationship-focused nature of their services, CFIs can offer the best of both worlds. Automated loan processes reduce friction and save time for both lenders and borrowers, but the human element—offering personalized advice, local expertise, and building trust—remains critical. This “high-tech, high-touch” approach enables CFIs to retain their core values while meeting the evolving demands of small business owners.

Conclusion: A Double-Edged Sword

Ultimately, the gap in technological investment presents both a challenge and an opportunity for community financial institutions. To remain competitive in today’s lending environment, CFIs must embrace technology without abandoning the personal service that sets them apart. The future of small business lending will depend on the ability of community institutions to wield this double-edged sword—combining the efficiency of streamlined processes with the warmth and trust of personal interaction. By doing so, CFIs will not only bridge the technology gap but also deepen relationships with their clients, ensuring they remain a trusted partner in their communities for generations to come.

If you have questions or would like to discuss how Young & Associates can help your institution tackle its lending challenges, contact us today. Together, we can find the solutions that best fit your needs and ensure your continued success.

CRE Stress Testing for Banks: A Crucial Tool in a Post-COVID World

By Jerry Sutherin, CEO at Young & Associates

Despite having limited requirements as defined by interagency guidance, the case can be made for requiring community financial institutions to have regular stress tests performed on their commercial real estate loan portfolios.

Emerging Challenges in Commercial Real Estate Lending

Recent post-COVID events have resulted in a heightened concern with regulators as it relates to commercial real estate. Most notably, interest rates have increased 525 bps from March 2022 through July 2023 and this correlates with the level of commercial loan delinquencies over that same period as noted in the chart below. This is further exacerbated the “work from home culture” and office vacancies increasing over the same period.

The ultimate impact on the commercial real estate sector is weaker NOIs, coverage ratios that are insufficient to meet loan covenants, higher Cap Rates, and lower valuations. For those loans locked into a lower rate, the issue now becomes; what happens when loans mature or reset? That is occurring now.

CRE Composition and Delinquency at US Banks Chart - S&P Global

Regulatory Expectations for Bank Stress Testing

Regulatory expectations for community bank stress testing initiatives have been set in both formal regulatory guidance and through more informal publications and statements. An interagency statement was released in May 2012 to provide clarification of supervisory expectations for stress testing by community banks.[1]

The issuance specifically stated that community banks are not required or expected to conduct the types of enterprise stress tests specifically articulated for larger institutions in rules implementing Dodd-Frank stress testing requirements, the agencies’ capital plan for larger institutions, or as described in interagency stress testing guidance for organizations with more than $10 billion in total consolidated assets.

OCC Guidance on Stress Testing Practices

However, in October 2012, the OCC provided additional guidance to banks on using stress testing to identify and quantify risk in the loan portfolio and to help establish effective strategic and capital planning processes.[2] The guidance reiterated that complex, enterprise-wide stress testing is not required of community banks, but also states that some stress testing of loan portfolios by community banks is considered to be an important part of sound risk management.

In the guidance, the OCC does not endorse a particular stress testing method for community banks; however, the guidance also discusses common elements that a community bank should consider, including asking plausible “what if” questions about key vulnerabilities; making a reasonable determination of how much impact the stress event or factor might have on earnings and capital; and incorporating the resulting analysis into the bank’s overall risk management process, asset/liability strategies, and strategic and capital planning processes.

The OCC bulletin also provides a simple example of a stress testing framework for community banks. In the summer of 2012, the FDIC also provided further guidance related to community bank stress testing in the Supervisory Insights Summer Edition.[3]

Interagency Guidance on Commercial Real Estate Risk

Perhaps the most significant piece of guidance related to loan portfolio stress testing for community banks is the 2006 interagency Concentrations in Commercial Real Estate Lending, Sound Risk Management Practices.[4] The continuing importance of and regulatory emphasis on this guidance was made clear in December 2015 when the interagency Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending[5] was released, which reiterated the importance of the principles described in the 2006 CRE Guidance.

The 2006 CRE Guidance describes several important practices for effectively managing the risks associated with CRE lending, especially concentration risk. Portfolio stress testing of the CRE portfolio is described as a critical risk management tool for institutions with CRE concentrations.

Examiner Expectations for Portfolio-Level Stress Testing

While community banks have not been pushed to perform the enterprise-wide stress testing that the above guidance specifically states is not expected of them, examiner expectations for portfolio-level loan stress tests have continued to increase over time and are becoming more prevalent during a bank’s recurring exams. These expectations are centered on portfolios that represent significant concentrations and, given the perceived level of risk and the existence of the 2006 CRE Guidance, are therefore most focused on CRE portfolios.

A reasonable and well-documented approach to CRE portfolio stress testing, undertaken at appropriately frequent intervals such as on an annual basis, is the most effective way for community banks to meet examiner expectations and to contribute toward effective risk management of CRE concentrations.

Regulatory Criteria for CRE Concentration Risk

The guidance also states that strong risk management practices (with stress testing being one of the most important) and appropriate levels of capital are important elements of a sound CRE lending program, particularly when an institution has a concentration in CRE loans. The guidance then lays out the criteria regulatory agencies utilize as a preliminary means of identifying institutions that are potentially exposed to significant CRE concentration risk:

  1. Total reported loans for construction, land development, and other land represent 100% percent or more of total capital, or
  2. Total commercial real estate loans (as described above) represent 300% or more of the institution’s total capital, and the outstanding balance has increased by 50% or more during the prior 36 months.

Concentration Levels Chart

The guidance is clear that these thresholds do not constitute limits on an institution’s lending activity and are instead intended to function as a high-level indicator of institutions potentially exposed to CRE concentration risk. Conversely, being below these thresholds also does not constitute a “safe harbor” for institutions if other risk indicators are present such as poor underwriting or poor performance metrics such as deteriorating risk rating migration and delinquency.

Case Study: Loan Portfolio Concentration Levels

As noted in the example above, the figures indicate that the bank does not have a high level of construction, and land development loans as the balances do not exceed the 100% threshold level as a percentage of total capital. However, the Bank has exceeded the 300% threshold of non-owner-occupied real estate loans as calculated under the 2006 CRE Guidance.  Additionally, the Bank’s three-year growth rate in this category was 72.7%, which is greater than the 50% reference level that constitutes the second part of the two-part regulatory test for a heightened concentration in this category.

Impact of Loan Acquisitions

It should also be noted that regulatory guidance does not differentiate between organic growth and commercial real estate growth via acquisition. Therefore, all such loans acquired does impact the ratios noted in the concentration chart above.

Loss Estimation in Bank Stress Testing

The basic premise for any stress test modeling is to identify moderate / high loss estimates and the impact to capital on a loan-level basis as well as portfolio-wide. While some community banks provide some stress testing on a transactional basis at origination, the output is typically limited to scenarios that focus primarily on future interest rate fluctuations.

CRE stress test modeling, on the other hand, allows for an organization to gauge potential losses of the CRE portfolio using internal core loan-level data as well as call report data while factoring in other variables that could influence the ultimate collectability of commercial real estate loans.

Loan-Level or Bottom-Up Stress Testing

The bottom-up or loan-level portion of the stress test estimates losses under the stress scenarios on a loan-by-loan basis. The loan selection is typically a function of the desired penetration identified by the organization and is comprised mostly of larger transactions with a sampling of newer originations and adversely risk rated transactions.

In this portion of the analysis, various stress factors are applied to the NOI, collateral value, and interest rate for each loan identified by the Bank. This information, coupled with the transaction’s debt service coverage, liquidation costs and Cap Rates help form a possible loan-level loss for each loan in moderate and in moderate and high-risk scenarios.

Top-Down Stress Testing

To ensure that the entire CRE portfolio is stressed, a useful model would use a top-down loss estimation method to “fill in” losses on the remaining portfolio for which loan-level information was not provided. This is accomplished by comparing the total balances for which loan-level data was provided in each of the various categories (construction and land development, multifamily, and all other non-owner occupied CRE) to the Bank’s call report. Losses are estimated on the amount of exposure for which loan-level information was not provided by applying a top-down loss rate.

The Moderate and High Stress Scenarios below are determined by applying the loss rates included in the stress test example in the 2012 OCC guidance on community bank stress testing. These loss rates represent two-year loss rates, consistent with the OCC’s stress testing guidance.

Top-Down Loss Rates Chart

Enhancing Portfolio Oversight and Credit Risk Management

Collectively, the “bottom-up (loan level)” and “top-down” moderate and high stress scenarios provide a global overview of a bank’s CRE portfolio and its potential impact to capital. Knowing that this is not a replacement for an enterprise-wide stress test, it allows a bank to provide its management, Board of Directors, and regulators with some context of the estimated losses in this segment of their loan portfolio while also serving as an effective supplement to their internal or third-party loan review.

Historically speaking, any situation in which significant weakness is experienced in critical market and economic factors will result in credit losses that are elevated above those that a bank experiences in “normal” times if unprepared. There is no replacement for appropriate credit administration, however all banks should always utilize tools such as stress testing to enhance their oversight of the metrics behind their CRE portfolio.

The performance of any financial institution and ultimately their ongoing safety and soundness are dependent on the performance of the Bank’s CRE portfolio. It is critical that management and the board of directors ensure that the Bank emphasizes effective implementation of the risk management elements discussed in the 2006 CRE Guidance. These elements include:

  • Continued effective board and management oversight,
  • Effective portfolio management,
  • Ensuring that management information systems are able to provide the information necessary for effective risk management,
  • Performing periodic market analysis and stress testing,
  • Regularly evaluating the appropriateness of credit underwriting standards, and
  • Maintaining an effective credit risk review function

If a financial institution is successful in these endeavors, their CRE loan portfolio should continue to contribute positively to their performance. Accordingly, I am a proponent of all community financial institutions having a stress test performed regularly to ensure the performance of that segment of their loan portfolio as well as the entire organization.

Partner with Young & Associates for Expert CRE Stress Testing

Navigating the complexities of commercial real estate stress testing can be challenging, especially with evolving regulatory expectations and economic uncertainties. At Young & Associates, we offer specialized CRE and Ag portfolio stress testing services designed to address these very challenges. With over 45 years of experience, our team understands the intricacies of regulatory guidance and can provide your community bank with the insights needed to enhance strategic and capital planning.

Our proven stress testing model assesses the potential impacts of adverse economic conditions, helping you manage risk effectively and comply with regulatory expectations. We provide actionable insights to guide your loan product design and underwriting standards, easing the burden of stress testing and supporting your institution’s resilience.

Choose Young & Associates for a partnership that combines deep industry knowledge with a commitment to excellence. Let us help you stay ahead of regulatory demands and strengthen your CRE portfolio management. Reach out to us now to schedule a consultation.

 


[1]              FDIC, PR 54-2012, Statement to Clarify Supervisory Expectations for Stress Testing by Community Banks. May 14, 2012.

[2]              OCC Bulletin 2012-33, Community Bank Stress Testing: Supervisory Guidance. October 18, 2012.

[3]              FDIC Supervisory Insights, 9(1).” Summer 2012.

[4]              FDIC FIL-104-2006, OCC Bulletin 2006-46, FRB SR 07-1, Concentrations in Commercial Real Estate Lending, Sound Risk Management Practices. December 12, 2006.

[5]              FDIC FIL-62-2015, OCC Bulletin 2015-51, FRB SR 15-17, Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending. December 18, 2015.

 

CDs Maturing in Q2: Impact on Interest Rate Risk Management

By: Michael Gerbick, President at Young & Associates

Interest rate risk (IRR) is the exposure of a bank or credit union’s current or future earnings and capital to adverse changes in market rates. Management of that risk is critical to community financial institutions and since the pandemic and rates went to zero, due to the rapid pace of change, effective management of that risk has been difficult due to the rapid increase in interest rates.

Navigating Market Volatility: The Role of ALM Models 

Most banks and credit unions utilize asset liability management (ALM) models to assist in the modeling of interest rate increases and decreases, typically +/- 400 bp shock scenarios. Similar to the parallel rate shock scenarios of the ALM models designed to identify risk exposure in a rapidly changing rate environment, the Fed raised rates between March 2022 and July 2023 from 0% to 5.25–5.50%.  

The yield curve shape changed significantly, putting additional stress on the Asset Liability Committees (ALCO) responsible for managing the ALM function of financial institutions, and has not let up. Yes, the inverted yield curve has flattened from 12 months ago, however in March this year, the Treasury yield curve for the two-year and ten-year yields hit a consecutive day record for being inverted 625 days, besting the previous record set in 1978.  

The chart shown below1 illustrates the difference between the higher yield 2-year and the lower yield 10-year. 

Strategies Amidst Rising Rates: Insights for Community Banks and Credit Unions 

Amongst many of the strategies employed during the rising rate environment of 2022 and 2023 was offering certificates of deposit (CDs) to maintain and grow deposits on the balance sheet. However, the funding mix began to shift as consumers migrated towards the higher interest-bearing accounts or the Bank increased Federal Home Loan borrowing which caused the cost of funds to increase.  

Industry research for the last two years shows interest-bearing deposits up 5.1% and non-interest-bearing deposits down 28%2. Rates have not risen since July 2023, however many of the CDs offered in 2023 are due to mature in 2024 in a different rate environment than when they were issued. Financial institutions are monitoring this closely.  

Strategic Considerations for ALCOs: Addressing Interest Rate Risk 

ALCOs are tasked with predicting the interest rate exposure in the elevated rate environment. Currently, we are in a unique environment and banks and credit unions should be cautious about using historical data only to predict future activity. In addition to non-bank competitors competing for deposits, community financial institutions need to continue improving their approach to cost of funds, net interest margin compression, and how the institution will effectively manage their exposure to interest rate risk. A few strategies and actions financial institutions can employ related to deposits are: 

Optimizing Interest Rate Exposure

Increase the frequency in which ALCO meets to review the interest rate environment. This may currently be semi-annual or quarterly at your institution. The financial institution may consider meeting monthly to stay abreast of any changes in the environment or new products the Bank is releasing. 

Policy Revision

Review your policy limits approved by the Board. Your policy may only have -100 bp or -200 bp scenarios listed given the previous low-rate environment. Not only review the existing policy limits with the Board but increase the stress range to account for -300 bp and -400 bp. 

Trigger Points

In addition to the policy limits, consider thresholds for the rate of change of the risk measures that consider risks associated with liquidity, interest rate risk, and capital. These rate of change thresholds are designed to commence action or additional investigation into the source of the significant movement ahead of falling outside of policy limits. 

Stress Your Assumptions

ALM models have built-in assumptions and are likely based on historical industry averages supplemented by data supplied by your institution. Common key assumptions outlined by the FDIC3: 

  • Asset Prepayment – represents the change in cash flows from an asset’s contractual repayment schedule. The severity of prepayments fluctuates with various interest rate scenarios. Mortgage loans are a prime example of assets subject to prepayment fluctuations.
  • Non-Maturity Deposits
    • Sensitivity or Beta Factor – describes the magnitude of change in deposit rates compared to a driver rate.
    • Decay Rate – estimates the amount of existing non-maturity deposits that will run off over time.
    • Weighted Average Life – estimates the average effective maturity of the deposits.
  • Driver Rate – represents the rate, or rates, which drive the re-pricing characteristics of assets and liabilities. Examples include Fed funds rate, LIBOR, U.S. Treasury yields, and the WSJ Prime rate.

Have discussions with your team and understand what is going on broadly in the economic environment as well as items specific to your bank or credit union. Address changes or concerns in your modeling assumptions or at the very least, be aware of their potential impact. Spend time to learn the assumptions. Do not accept the defaults as correct, make sure your team understands them.

In addition to your base case, stress the assumptions – double or triple the decay rates, assume a high sensitivity to driver rates in the change in deposit rates, and cut the prepayment speeds in half. The alternate scenarios with severe assumptions will assist ALCO in understanding potential value creation and risks.  

Interest Rate Risk Review

Regulatory guidance indicates that every bank should have an annual third-party assessment of the interest rate risk system. Similar to other audits, this review should be delivered to the Board of Directors or the Board’s audit committee and is a critical component of the Board’s responsibility for bank oversight. 

Educate the Board on Interest Rate Risk

There are educational videos available through the FDIC website. In addition, there are IRR modeling vendors that will attend meetings to provide perspective to your institution on the current economic environment and your modeling results. Leverage them. 

Managing Interest Rate Risk in 2024 and Beyond 

There is always an opportunity for significant value creation in any environment. The rapidly increasing rate environment experienced in 2022-2023 brought forth significant risks and opportunities. The 2024 environment possesses new challenges, and I am excited to see our community banks and credit unions adjust their balance sheets, act on the highest value opportunities, and limit their interest rate exposure.  

Assess Your Interest Rate Risk 

Ready to proactively manage your institution’s interest rate risk? Young & Associates offers comprehensive interest rate risk reviews tailored to your needs. Ensure your bank or credit union is prepared to navigate market volatility with confidence. Reach out to us now to schedule your consultation!

 

 


1Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
2S&P Global US Bank Market Report 2024
3FDIC Developing Key Assumptions for Analysis of Interest Rate Risk

Construction Loan Monitoring: Questions & Answers

By: Linda Fisher, Senior Consultant

There is always a certain level of risk in lending, but construction loans are of even greater risk. The ultimate value of the collateral is realized only after the project is completed, and the finished project is either leased to a stabilized level or sold at a profit. Therefore, it is imperative that a construction loan be closely monitored to ensure that the project is successfully executed. 

Why is construction monitoring so important?

Construction monitoring serves both the bank AND the customer. By conducting regular inspections, both parties can verify that the work being done is properly completed, on budget and results in the expected final value of the project.  

Also, if for any reason there is a dispute or litigation arises, there is a record of independent monitoring of the project by a qualified third party that can aid in any conflict resolution. 

When should a construction inspector be engaged?

While both the bank’s and the borrower’s responsibilities are outlined in the loan documents, a detailed discussion between the bank and the borrower should take place prior to closing that outlines how the draw process will be handled, and identify who will be conducting inspections and the costs associated with this service.   

Subsequent to this discussion, the inspector should be engaged prior to closing. This individual should perform an initial review of the construction agreement, budget, timeline, and plans and specifications associated with the project. This helps to ensure that the proposed project is feasible given the work to be performed and can be completed within the designated costs and timeframe, as well as that all appropriate documentation related to the project is in order prior to closing the loan. 

Throughout construction, having the construction inspector perform physical site visits provides independent verification of the line item percentage completion of the construction performed during the draw request period and due to the inspector’s expertise, allows the inspector to directly address pertinent construction matters with the contractors, architects and borrowers on the bank’s behalf. 

Who is qualified to perform inspections?

Ideally, construction monitoring services are performed by engineers or other licensed individuals with experience in general construction methods and materials, as well as practices, techniques, and equipment used in building construction. A list of individuals/firms should be maintained by the bank – similar to lists of appraisers, attorneys, title companies, and other approved third-party vendors – that provide construction monitoring/inspection services. 

As with any third-party vendor, these individuals should be thoroughly vetted, with documentation of his/her appropriate experience, references, and insurance.   

A bank may sometimes engage the appraiser who performed the property evaluation prior to closing to serve as the construction inspector. While this individual may meet the intent of having an independent third party visit the site, an appraiser does not have the appropriate experience and training to review and interpret the plans and specifications prior to closing or effectively evaluate and monitor the construction as it progresses. 

Who is responsible for payment of a construction inspector’s services?

The cost associated with utilizing a construction inspector is typically borne by the borrower and is included in the project budget as a soft cost and as a closing statement line item.   

What do these services cost?

The best answer is…it depends. Costs for a construction inspector’s services will vary in conjunction with the location and scope of the project. The initial cost for a review of the plans and specs is typically a higher expense, with monthly periodic reviews as disbursement requests are received by the bank from the borrower being a lesser cost. The cost pales in comparison to the potential risk of having a project be inappropriately completed, stall mid-construction or potentially turn litigious costing time and expense for the borrower, contractors and the bank.   

What are best practices in monitoring a construction loan?

Every step of the process should be well documented within the loan files. In addition to maintaining copies of the construction agreement(s), as well as original budget and timelines, details of change orders, a copy of the agreement with the construction inspector and any related information should be maintained as well. A copy of each loan disbursement request should be kept in the file and accompanied by the following: 

  • Inspection report – to include the name and title of the person that performed the inspection, the time & date of the inspection, captioned photos of the project, estimated percentage of project completion with supporting descriptions of work completed since the last inspection and materials stored onsite, details of any delays, disputes or inspector concerns, an estimated date of completion and the inspector’s approval of the requested disbursement  
  • Lien waivers/title bringdown/endorsement – to ensure that there are no intervening liens filed against the project 
  • All paid or owing invoices, receipts and other verifications of project expenses or applicable borrower reimbursements  
  • Updated budget – demonstrating percentage of completion of budgeted expense categories, and sources and uses of equity and debt funds to date. 

Maintaining this information in the file demonstrates that the bank is effectively monitoring the loan and provides clear documentation of progress of construction. If a question or concern develops, it can be quickly and efficiently addressed, since the information is secured in one location.  

What is a certificate of final value?

Upon completion of the construction/issuance of the certificate of occupancy, the bank should inform the original appraiser of such completion and a final inspection performed by the appraiser to validate that the project was completed within the parameters defined in the original appraisal. The appraiser then issues a certificate of final value correlating the completed project to the circumstances of the appraisal report and its concluded “as complete” value. 

Building Confidence With a Construction Monitoring Plan

An effective, consistent construction monitoring program avoids surprises for all parties, as it documents the evolution of the project, from the initial approved scope and costs, throughout construction and to final completion. Prior to closing, all parties can be confident knowing that they are starting off on the right foot, with a solid and achievable plan. As the project progresses, any issues that may arise can be identified and dealt with appropriately. Given the potential risks associated with any construction project, having a solid plan and maintaining proper documentation provides a higher probability of a successful outcome that benefits both the borrower and the bank. 

Optimize Your Construction Loan Management Strategies with Y&A

Young & Associates offers specialized lending and loan review services to assist community banks and credit unions in constructing robust construction loan management and administration processes. For tailored solutions and expert support, contact us here. Strengthen your construction loan approach with Young & Associates’ dedicated expertise.

Managing CRE Credit Risk Amid Market Shifts

By: Jerry Sutherin, President & CEO of Young & Associates

The landscape of commercial real estate (CRE) lending is shifting due to current economic events, presenting both challenges and opportunities for community financial institutions deeply entrenched in this sector. The challenges range from the profound impact of remote work trends and the uncertain future of office spaces to growing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates bringing CRE risk into the spotlight. This volatility has garnered increased attention from internal and external stakeholders, as well as regulatory authorities. Consequently, identifying the most pressing threats among these challenges and proactively mitigating risk has become a top priority for financial institutions with CRE exposure.

In the face of rising interest rates and delinquencies, many financial institutions are preparing to confront these economic stressors. In fact, some were already scaling back lending before the recent collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. We have all witnessed the tightening of lending standards resulting from that event, and many analysts anticipate further tightening among all community financial institutions. This constriction is also impacted by limited deposits and liquidity forcing financial institutions to be selective in how they deploy their capital. These facts leave many analysts predicting when credit problems will emerge in the CRE sector.

The evidence speaks for itself. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, the delinquency rate for all CRE loans held in U.S. banks has increased by five basis points year over year. Moreover, within a single quarter earlier this year, the delinquency rate for nonowner-occupied nonresidential property loans spiked by a significant 24 basis points. This has led to tighter lending standards at origination, reflecting the concerns of institutions. Further, financial institutions are taking proactive measures to mitigate CRE risk after origination. Some have set aside high-single-digit percentage allowances for office loans. Others have reduced exposure through portfolio sales. Overall, loan originations have fallen, CRE sales have slumped, and forecasts indicate a drop in CRE prices.

The tightening of lending standards, the slowdown in the growth of CRE loans, and the impact on loan originations have emerged as central concerns in the financial sector. What unifies these factors is their inherent risk and whether they act as warning signals or responses. Managing CRE credit risk is undeniably intricate, but leveraging available strategies and tools empowers community banks, credit unions, and financial institutions to effectively navigate the ever-changing CRE lending sector. This enables them to proactively assess and plan for risk mitigation, rather than merely react to these changes.

Understanding Commercial Real Estate Risk

As CRE loans represent a substantial part of many banks’ loan portfolios and higher yielding assets, especially within community financial institutions, understanding the significance of CRE credit risk is paramount. Community banks and credit unions often operate in areas experiencing job and population growth, leading to a high demand for CRE lending and, in turn, a high concentration of CRE loans. This growth and its corresponding effects on loan portfolio concentration pose new challenges for banks in terms of risk monitoring and control.

While larger financial institutions commonly maintain experienced staff and even entire departments to manage these risks, it is generally not cost effective for smaller financial institutions to hire and maintain qualified resources to help mitigate the inherent risks. In the absence of an internal CRE risk management team, it is imperative for financial institutions to rely on independent third-party resources to assist in this crucial process.

Historical Context and Lessons from Past Experiences

A retrospective examination underscores the importance of proactive risk management. Many significant historical banking failures were largely attributed to overinvestment in CRE loans and the lack of an effective risk management process. Weak underwriting standards and poor portfolio management led to an oversupply of CRE properties and borrower defaults. Over time, regulatory improvements, such as stricter underwriting and risk management requirements, have been implemented. Nevertheless, predicting the future remains uncertain. We can only analyze past patterns and the shortcomings to properly assess future risks.

In 2023, community and regional financial institutions comprise approximately 72% of the CRE loan market, taking on an above-average amount of CRE credit exposure. Recognizing such circumstances is vital, as you should be alert to potential red flags. Identifying and managing CRE credit risk is critical.

Identifying Emerging CRE Risk

A comprehensive understanding of CRE credit risk highlights the increasing complexity of its landscape. CRE credit risk is multifaceted, with numerous risk categories affecting CRE lending, including market risk, asset risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk, among others. To construct a robust risk management strategy, all these variables must be explored and considered.

To assess your financial institution’s CRE loan segment’s health, a systematic approach is needed. When determining if your CRE portfolio exceeds your institution’s risk appetite and how to quantify that risk and respond effectively, the answers lie in developing a comprehensive, tailored framework for assessing and analyzing your CRE loan market. The most recent regulatory interagency Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending notes that institutions that successfully monitored risk have:

  • Established appropriate loan policies, underwriting standards, and concentration limits.
  • Conducted cash flow analyses based on realistic rates and expenses to ensure repayment ability and assessed borrowers’ ability to repay during interest rate fluctuations and loan structure changes.
  • Analyzed the impact of economic changes on the loan portfolio’s quality, earnings, and capital.
  • Provided boards and management with information to adapt lending strategies in changing market conditions.
  • Maintained information systems to manage concentration risk effectively.
  • Implemented appropriate appraisal review and collateral valuation processes.

With the many challenges faced by community financial institutions, the need to effectively identify, measure, and manage these risks has become paramount. While established best practices exist to address these risks, financial institutions must transition from assessing each risk in isolation to recognizing the interconnectedness and synergy between them. A more holistic approach to risk management is required, allowing institutions to confidently inform their capital planning, risk tolerance, and overarching strategy.

Strengthening CRE Risk Management in Community Financial Institutions

A comprehensive risk management strategy empowers financial institutions to adapt to market dynamics, instilling confidence among stakeholders and regulators. Alongside the factors discussed in the previous section, regulatory guidelines highlight two critical facets of CRE risk management: stress testing and portfolio reviews. While community financial institutions can execute these internally, outsourcing can offer efficiency and effectiveness.

CRE Portfolio Stress Testing

Stress testing and sensitivity analyses are indispensable tools for evaluating CRE risk and gauging the impact of economic fluctuations on asset quality, earnings, and capital. These assessments should align with the portfolio’s size and risk profile. CRE stress tests inform strategic and capital planning, credit concentration limits, policy, and underwriting. Integrating stress testing into risk management and strategic planning is essential to anticipate and mitigate risks, especially given current market uncertainties.

Although loan-level stress testing serves a purpose on a transactional level at origination, financial institutions should also regularly perform portfolio-level stress testing that encompasses a bottoms-up and a top-down approach. The bottom-up approach allows financial institutions to gauge the risks of individual, seasoned loans by stressing each transaction through interest rate changes, collateral values, and other market factors. Implying moderate and high stress scenarios to each transaction allows for early identification of potential losses and their impact on the capital of your organization. The top-down approach takes the remaining portfolio not identified on a loan-level analysis and uses the same stressors to further identify any possible impact to capital.

Independent Loan Reviews for CRE Risk Mitigation

Thorough loan reviews are pivotal for identifying and mitigating potential CRE portfolio risks. They enable banks to assess loan quality, maintain compliance with regulations, and make necessary adjustments on a loan and portfolio level. An effective loan review function is crucial for assessing asset quality, evaluating underwriting and ongoing monitoring, and identifying exceptions to policies. Proactive issue resolution ensures risk mitigation before regulatory scrutiny or asset quality deterioration.

To further safeguard against future losses, it is critical that a loan review be independent. If maintained internally at the organization, it should report directly to the audit committee of the board of directors or the full board of directors. If a third-party firm is contracted to perform this work, it too should report all findings to the board of directors or a committee thereof.

Tactical Approaches to Limit CRE Risk in an Unpredictable Market

To minimize exposure to CRE credit risk, institutions should enhance communication with borrowers, allocate additional resources for portfolio management, understand collateral, and manage interest rate risk. Effective market area monitoring, adaptable to the institution’s unique risk exposure and appetite, is essential. Clear communication of risk tolerance from the board down to lending staff fosters alignment and clarity.

Community financial institutions must not become complacent in their approach to risk management. It is critical to remain agile and continually adapt to changing environments and emerging risks, especially in the currently volatile realm of CRE lending. By staying proactive and employing a comprehensive risk assessment and management approach, banks and credit unions can successfully address CRE credit risk, safeguard their portfolios, and maintain their success.

Optimize Your Risk Management Strategies with Young & Associates

With over four decades of experience, Y&A specializes in helping community financial institutions manage risk. Our enduring presence in the industry reflects our ability to adapt to evolving financial landscapes. Our seasoned consultants, who have backgrounds in banking, bring firsthand experience of market fluctuations.

Outsourcing CRE Stress Testing

Young & Associates offers a CRE portfolio stress testing service that efficiently and insightfully assesses your portfolio. Using data specific to your bank, we stress your CRE portfolio across various factors. Our report quantifies potential impacts on earnings and capital resulting from collateral value decreases, changes in property net operating incomes, or increases in interest rates. What sets us apart is our ability to handle the stress testing process efficiently, allowing your institution’s management to focus on other important initiatives.

Outsourcing Loan Review

For most community financial institutions, outsourced loan review is the best choice due to size and the need for an independent party. Our loan review service, applied to your CRE portfolio, not only uncovers individual credit assessments but also evaluates the alignment of your credit standards, analysis, and continuous credit monitoring with the specific characteristics of your CRE portfolio. Our findings not only inform you about existing portfolio risks but also provide recommendations for effective risk management.

Contact us to explore how we can support your journey in addressing CRE credit risk effectively.

The Art of Safe Lending: How to Mitigate Commercial Loan Underwriting Risks

By: Ollie Sutherin, Principal of Y&A Credit Services

Community financial institutions have long been known for their agility and personalized service, excelling at creating unique lending solutions and facilitating distinct transactions. However, the very attributes that have set them apart may now present fresh challenges as they seek to expand. Community banks and credit unions find themselves navigating a delicate equilibrium: effectively managing underwriting risk, diversifying their loan portfolios, and growing to better serve their communities. 

Additionally, the world of commercial loan underwriting presents its own distinctive challenges that further complicate finding this equilibrium. Commercial loan underwriting standards, in particular, are designed to foster relationship banking rather than transactional interactions. Loans are underwritten based on the borrower’s anticipated ability to operate their business profitably and service the debt being requested. However, the actual cash flows of borrowers can often deviate from expectations, and the value of collateral securing these loans may fluctuate. Most commercial loans are secured by the assets they finance, along with other business assets such as accounts receivable or inventory, and sometimes entail personal guarantees. Loans secured by accounts receivable heavily rely on the borrower’s ability to collect due amounts from customers. These complexities create a web of considerations for underwriters. 

Effective management of a community financial institution’s loan portfolio necessitates a strategic approach guided by skilled underwriters who play a pivotal role in mitigating underwriting risks in commercial lending. 

The After Effects of the SVB Collapse 

A little over six months have passed since the financial world experienced a seismic shift when a prominent regional bank collapsed. This event sent shockwaves throughout the banking sector, triggering a chain reaction that affected numerous other financial institutions, both regional and local. These far-reaching consequences have also left their mark on various aspects of community bank and credit union operations. 

Risk management has always held a pivotal role in credit underwriting, and its significance has become more pronounced in today’s ever-volatile environment. As we navigate an era of monetary tightening, global inflationary pressures, and increasing interest rates, underwriters find themselves under increased scrutiny. In the past, cheap funding was abundant, but now, risk-appropriate pricing is paramount for funding new deals. Underwriters must balance a new interest rate environment with the heightened lending and refinancing risks, necessitating increased diligence in risk assessments when extending credit and negotiating terms. 

To shed light on this matter, we will explore effective strategies for community financial institutions to limit underwriting risk in commercial lending, ensuring they can thrive while maintaining a prudent approach to lending.  

Comprehensive Credit Analysis 

The cornerstone of any sound underwriting process is conducting a comprehensive credit analysis. This involves digging deep into the current financial health of the borrower, their business, and the industry they operate in. By meticulously assessing factors like cash flow, collateral, and credit history, you can gain a clearer picture of the borrower’s ability to repay the loan. 

Moreover, consider working with an experienced outsourced credit underwriting service like Y&A Credit Services to ensure you have access to the latest data, analytical tools, and expertise in evaluating commercial loans. Our team of experts can assist from reviewing your analysis to completely underwriting the transaction, ensuring you have all the information to help you make informed lending decisions. 

Diversification of Loan Portfolios 

Diversification is a risk management principle that rings true in commercial lending as well. By diversifying your loan portfolios across various industries and business types, you can reduce your exposure to sector-specific risks. A balanced mix of loans in manufacturing, real estate, healthcare, and other sectors can help buffer your institution against economic downturns that may affect a particular industry. 

Loan Covenants and Monitoring 

Establishing clear and enforceable loan covenants is another key step in limiting underwriting risk. These covenants set out the terms and conditions under which the borrower must operate and repay the loan. Regularly monitoring the borrower’s compliance with these covenants and requesting the most current information from your borrower is equally important. It allows you to detect early warning signs of financial distress and take corrective action sooner when you have more options for a successful outcome for both your borrower and your institution. 

Loan Portfolio Stress Testing 

In an ever-changing economic landscape, stress testing is an invaluable tool for gauging how your loan portfolio would perform under adverse conditions. By modeling various scenarios against your portfolio, you can assess your institution’s vulnerability to economic shocks and make proactive adjustments to your lending practices. 

Ongoing Training and Education 

Staying up to date with the latest industry trends, regulations, and best practices is essential. Encourage your staff to engage in ongoing training and education programs related to commercial lending and underwriting. This ensures that your institution’s underwriting processes remain current and effective. 

Regular Commercial Loan Underwriting Reviews 

To maintain the health of your loan portfolio, it’s crucial to conduct regular reviews of your commercial loan underwriting practices. This ensures that your institution’s standards and processes align with the evolving landscape of commercial lending. It also allows you to make necessary adjustments and refinements to minimize underwriting risks continuously. 

Outsourcing Commercial Credit Underwriting 

Third party assistance for commercial credit underwriting can be a strategic move to ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of your underwriting processes and relieve your institution of the need to maintain an up-to-date full-time staff.   Professional outsourced services, like Y&A Credit Services, offer expertise, access to advanced analytical tools, and an impartial perspective, helping your institution make sound lending decisions and maintain high underwriting standards.  These services can be implemented from fully outsourced to fractional, helping assist during peaks in volume.  

Y&A Credit Services’ Guidance in Commercial Underwriting 

Mitigating underwriting risk in commercial lending stands as a pivotal cornerstone for upholding the financial health and stability of community banks and credit unions, especially in the wake of the industry upheaval earlier this year. By implementing comprehensive credit analysis, diversifying loan portfolios, enforcing loan covenants, conducting stress tests, and investing in ongoing training, regular reviews, and outsourcing, you can confidently navigate the complexities of commercial lending while minimizing risks and enhance your institution’s lending capabilities. 

At Y&A Credit Services, we understand the importance of risk management in commercial lending, and we’re here to guide you through the process. Our outsourced credit underwriting services are designed to provide community banks and credit unions with the expertise and resources needed to make sound lending decisions. Together, we can build a more secure lending future for your institution, helping our communities one loan at a time. 

Contact us today to learn how we can help. 

Key Elements of Effective Credit Underwriting

By: Ollie Sutherin, Principal, Y&A Credit Services

The focus of this article is to provide an overview of what Y&A Credit Services, LLC views as key elements during the underwriting process. While there are many variables needed to effectively underwrite credits, below are the primary focal points of any quality credit presentation that we underwrite or review.

Cash is King
“Cash is king” is a saying that we use often as it translates to, “if you don’t have the cash to repay, you shouldn’t have the loan.” So often we are presented with transactions that aren’t the strongest, don’t show cash flow, and the underlying organization has no business being lent money. Lenders often try to form complex explanations regarding the guarantor’s wherewithal, global cash flow, etc., and they lose sight of the actual company, its financial condition, and its ability to service the debt on a stand-alone basis. Every analysis should begin with the subject company and its ability to service debt. If it is a real estate holding company and the note is secured by a specific property, what is the cash flow of that property? If the most recent tax return statement, compiled, audited, etc., does not evidence the ability to service debt, what is the trend of the company? What are they doing to improve from the previous year and what is the YTD revenue/expenses compared to the prior year?

Eventually, we take into consideration the guarantor’s wherewithal and how it impacts the cash flow; however, the primary focus should always be on the company itself (the primary repayment source). If a transaction is being presented where repayment is heavily reliant on the guarantor, then the following questions must be asked: What is their character like? Have all of the assets and liabilities been verified on their personal financial statement(s)? Are other contingent liabilities factored in as well? So often, mistakes are caught when analysts simply say, “John Doe has $1,000,000 in cash and is clearly able to service the subject note should it be needed” without doing the proper due diligence verifying the source of the cash.

Quality of Information
If the cash flow of the company is the backbone of the transaction, then the quality of information is the legs, providing the necessary base for everything. We are always looking at the reliability of this information as it minimizes the risks of inaccuracy and subsequently the risk of default. For example, if borrowers only give internal statements that are hastily prepared and communicate lease details in one-two sentences in an email, this poses a much greater risk than detailed property information in the actual tax return and actual signed lease agreements provided for review. Furthermore, as it pertains to C&I transactions, internally prepared statements rarely reconcile, which makes performing a UCA Cash Flow analysis much more difficult. Tax returns and audited or compiled statements always reconcile, providing an accurate analysis.

Collateral Values
As it relates to the property or equipment securing an obligation, an appraisal is always going to be the safest way to measure the value. Too often, internal evaluations or estimates are utilized to justify a request during underwriting. To meet regulatory standards, the collateral securing an obligation must support the amount being considered and obtaining the appraisal during the underwriting phase can potentially save a significant amount of work if the value is insufficient to support the debt. For existing credits that are being refinanced, another important aspect of collateral valuations includes site visits by the account officers. Having photos and notes from the site visit will provide added support to the collateral pledged for the transactions.

Stress Testing
Stress testing individual loans during underwriting is becoming increasingly necessary, especially in today’s rising rate environment. This was a regulatory focus back in the late 2010s as there was a rising interest rate environment. Variable rate notes, property values, vacancy rates and ultimately cash flow for debt service were adversely impacted. At the beginning of the pandemic in March 2020, rates dropped markedly and remained flat until just recently. To curb inflation, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates and the extent of the impact on variable rate loans has yet to be determined.

Stressing individual loans at origination provides the institution with a tool to better understand the impact of rate increases on cash flow, property values, and vacancy rates in different scenarios. The result is a more informed credit decision during the underwriting phase. Ultimately, these variables help determine the breakeven point of a business’s cash flow and provide great insight to the actual strength of the primary borrower.

Projections / Proformas
These are something that all lenders should request from a borrower/potential borrower to justify the strength of a transaction. However, often these projections will paint an excellent picture of the company and a stellar cash flow that is more than adequate to service the underlying transaction. The intent of requesting and analyzing projections is to compare them to historical results, in many instances where the projected cash flow is higher than historical results. This is typically due to the borrower understating expenses which leads to overstated cash flow and debt service coverage. Given all of this, it is still important to obtain projections and to compare them to actual statements when available. Should they vary significantly, it will open the door to questions and force a deeper look into smaller details such as management of the company.

Y&A Credit Services, LLC
Over the past few years, a defined need has developed in the community financial institution industry. Specifically, it has been difficult for financial institutions to hire and retain quality credit professionals, especially in rural areas, to underwrite loans and perform other necessary tasks necessary for adequate credit administration. This need has led Young & Associates, Inc. to create a wholly-owned subsidiary (Y&A Credit Services, LLC) to meet the needs of these organizations. Y&A Credit Services, LLC has the mission of filling the voids of clients who have limited or even no credit staff to perform these necessary tasks. If your organization has a need for credit services, please feel free to contact us at 330.422.3482. Our services include spread sheet analyses, annual reviews, full credit underwriting and review of prepared presentations along with a full complement of other credit-related services through Young & Associates, Inc.

SAFE Act a Decade On

By: William J. Showalter, CRCM, CRP, Senior Consultant

We have been dealing with the Secure and Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing Act (SAFE Act) since 2010, and yet questions surface or confusion still exists over SAFE Act requirements.

“A loan clerk quotes loan rates from a non-public rate schedule, along with payment amounts for inquiring consumers. Should she be registered?” (Maybe, she is performing a function of a mortgage loan originator, MLO.)

“Our head of lending is our SAFE Act Officer. He also handles some mortgage loans, with his name on loan documents. However, his background is in commercial lending and he has never been registered with the NMLSR. Do we have a problem?” (Yes, if he is involved in more than five mortgage loans per year, he must be registered.)

“How often do we have to get criminal background checks for our MLOs? How about when their fingerprints expire?” (Criminal background checks are required only on initial registration. The fingerprint expiration date is only relevant for existing MLOs who are coming into the bank as new employees. No updating of fingerprints for ongoing MLOs is required.)

These queries reveal that confusion still exists over what the requirements are and how they impact banks and thrifts.

A Little Background

Congress enacted the SAFE Act in July 2008 to require states to establish minimum standards for the licensing and registration of state-licensed mortgage loan originators, and to provide for the establishment of a nationwide mortgage licensing system and registry for the residential mortgage industry.

The SAFE Act required all states to provide for a licensing and registration regime for mortgage loan originators who are not employed by federal agency-regulated institutions within one year of enactment (or two years for states whose legislatures meet biennially).

In addition, the SAFE Act required the federal banking agencies, through the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC), and the Farm Credit Administration (FCA) to develop and maintain a system for registering mortgage loan originators employed by agency-regulated institutions.

The Dodd-Frank Act moved responsibility for the SAFE Act rules to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), which rolled these rules into its Regulation G (12 CFR 1007).

Licensing vs. Registration

Most of the confusion at the outset seemed to center on the issue of licensing versus registration of mortgage loan originators (MLOs). The issue is really deceptively simple.

  • MLOs that work for federally supervised banks, thrifts, and credit unions (as well as FCA lenders) must register with the national registry (NMLSR).
  • MLOs employed by other mortgage lenders (mortgage companies, etc.) must navigate the state licensing and registry system, a much more time consuming, expensive, and burdensome process which also carries a continuing education requirement.

Coverage

A “mortgage loan originator” is an individual who both takes residential mortgage loan applications and offers or negotiates terms of a residential mortgage loan for compensation or gain.

The term “mortgage loan originator” does not include individuals that perform purely “administrative or clerical tasks” (the receipt, collection, and distribution of information common for the processing or underwriting of a loan in the mortgage industry) and communication with a consumer to obtain information necessary for the processing or underwriting of a residential mortgage loan. Also excluded are individuals that perform only real estate brokerage activities and are duly licensed, individuals or entities solely involved in extensions of credit related to timeshare plans, employees engaged in loan modifications or assumptions, and employees engaged in mortgage loan servicing.

“Compensation or gain” includes salaries, commissions, other incentives, or any combination of these types of payments.

MLO Registration

An MLO must be federally registered if the individual is an employee of a depository institution, an employee of any subsidiary owned and controlled by a depository institution and regulated by a federal banking agency, or an employee of an institution regulated by the FCA.

The final rule, as required by the SAFE Act, prohibits an individual who is an employee of an agency-regulated institution from engaging in the business of a loan originator without registering as a loan originator with the national registry, maintaining that registration annually, and obtaining a unique identifier through the registry. Employer financial institutions must require adherence to this rule by their employee MLOs.

MLOs may submit their registration information individually or their employer institution may do it for them (by a non-MLO employee). The decision of which approach to take should be made by management to ensure consistency within the institution, especially since there is prescribed institution information that also must be submitted to the registry.

This MLO information must include financial services-related employment history for the 10 years before the date of registration or renewal, including the date the employee became an employee of the bank – not just the time they have worked for their current employer.

MLOs and their employers need to remember that registrations have to be renewed annually for as long as an individual operates as an MLO. The renewal period opens on November 1 and ends on December 31 each year. If an MLO or bank registration lapses, it may be reinstated during a reinstatement period that opens on January 2 and closes on February 28 each year.

Other Requirements

Bank and thrift managers also should remember that there are specific requirements in this rule for the institution to have policies and procedures to implement SAFE Act requirements, as well as regarding the use of a unique identifier (NMLS number) by MLOs.

At a minimum, the bank’s SAFE Act policies and procedures must:

  • Establish a process for identifying which employees have to be registered MLOs
  • Require that all employees who are MLOs are informed of the SAFE Act registration requirements and be instructed on how to comply with those requirements and procedures
  • Establish procedures to comply with the unique identifier requirements
  • Establish reasonable procedures for confirming the adequacy and accuracy of employee registrations, including updates and renewals, by comparisons with its own records
  • Establish reasonable procedures and tracking systems for monitoring compliance with registration and renewal requirements and procedures
  • Provide for independent testing for compliance with this part to be conducted at least annually by covered financial institution personnel or by an outside party
  • Provide for appropriate action in the case of any employee who fails to comply with SAFE Act registration requirements or the bank’s related policies and procedures, including prohibiting such employees from acting as MLOs or other appropriate disciplinary action
  • Establish a process for reviewing SAFE Act employee criminal history background reports, taking appropriate action consistent with applicable federal law, and maintaining records of these reports and actions taken with respect to applicable employees, and
  • Establish procedures designed to ensure that any third party with which the bank has arrangements related to mortgage loan origination has policies and procedures to comply with the SAFE Act, including appropriate licensing and/or registration of individuals acting as MLOs

The bank or thrift also must make the unique identifiers (NMLS numbers) of its registered MLOs available to consumers “in a manner and method practicable to the institution.” The bank has latitude in implementing this requirement. It may choose to make the identifiers available in one or more of the following ways:

  • Directing consumers to a listing of registered MLOs and their unique identifiers on its website
  • Posting this information prominently in a publicly accessible place, such as a branch office lobby or lending office reception area, and/or
  • Establishing a process to ensure that bank personnel provide the unique identifier of a registered MLO to consumers who request it from employees other than the MLO

In addition, a registered MLO must provide his or her unique identifier to a consumer:

  • Upon request
  • Before acting as a mortgage loan originator, and
  • Through the MLO’s initial written communication with a consumer, if any, whether on paper or electronically (often by incorporating it into the signature information for standard letter and e-mail formats)

Banks, thrifts, and their registered MLOs often also make their NMLS numbers available in other ways – such as including them in advertising or on business cards.

As with any compliance rule, banks and thrifts need to make sure that they have systems in place to ensure compliance with SAFE Act requirements, including appropriate training for employees involved in the mortgage origination process.

For information on how Young & Associates can assist your bank with the SAFE Act requirements, contact Dave Reno at 330.422.3455 and dreno@younginc.com.

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