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Intel’s Ohio investment creates opportunity for economic growth and lending

Digital render of Intel's new facility
Digital render of Intel’s new facility located in Central Ohio. Photo courtesy of Intel

By Alex Heavner; Credit Analyst, Young & Associates

Intel is transforming nearly 1,000 acres in New Albany, Ohio, with a $28 billion investment in two advanced chip factories. The site will produce some of the industry’s most advanced semiconductor processors. Ground broke on the project in 2022, with completion anticipated by 2027.

The benefits of a tech giant like Intel establishing a presence in Central Ohio are vast. The direct economic impact begins with the creation of more than 7,000 construction jobs. Once operational, Intel expects to employ at least 3,000 individuals on-site or remotely. Beyond these, more than 10,000 directly impacted workers in the surrounding communities will experience significant growth in the years to come.

Intel intends to onboard more than 350 Ohio-based companies into its supply chain. Small businesses, franchises and startups are expected to flock to the area to capitalize on the expanding ecosystem. Intel’s investment may create tens of thousands of new jobs in industries beyond its own.

Intel has also committed $100 million to support educational initiatives in Ohio, aimed at developing a skilled talent pipeline and strengthening local research institutions. As of May 2025, $17.7 million of that commitment has been allocated. This funding has awarded more than 2,300 scholarships and helped educate over 9,000 students through partnerships with more than 80 colleges and universities. In addition, Intel is rolling out Khanmigo, an AI-powered tutor and teaching assistant, to select middle and high schools.

How Intel helps construct opportunity

According to comprehensive economic models, Intel’s presence is expected to increase Ohio’s GDP by $2.3 billion annually. A significant portion of this growth will stem from the rise in local business development — creating a surge in demand for commercial construction and property development financing.

New Albany is uniquely positioned for this expansion. It is the only Columbus suburb where commercial land use outpaces residential, with 43 percent allocated to business and 31 percent to housing. The city actively seeks to reduce the residential tax burden by increasing commercial revenue, which currently comprises more than 80 percent of the city’s general fund — largely derived from income taxes collected in the business park. This commercial focus directly contributes to enhanced infrastructure, services and quality of life for residents.

Lending: The backbone of community growth

None of this economic potential is realized without one critical component: access to capital. Lending is the engine that turns opportunity into action.

Contractors, electricians, HVAC technicians and landscapers will need financing to purchase or lease vehicles and equipment essential for their trades. Many will also rely on financing for payroll and up-front material costs during lengthy projects.

Restaurants, retailers and healthcare providers require funding to secure land, finance construction, purchase equipment and obtain the necessary licenses to open and operate. In short, every facet of the economy will be touched by lending.

Construction lending, however, carries unique risks. Delays caused by weather, labor shortages or supply chain disruptions are common. Rain could halt progress for a week and time lost is money lost. These interruptions can jeopardize loan repayment and force lenders to make difficult decisions — continue funding, renegotiate terms or sell the loan to mitigate losses.

Additionally, fluctuating material costs and unforeseen expenses can lead to budget overruns. Mismanagement could prevent borrowers from repaying loans, increasing the risk of default. While the unfinished structure typically serves as collateral, its incomplete status may significantly reduce its resale value, leaving lenders exposed.

To manage these risks, financial institutions employ construction inspectors who monitor progress and confirm that funds are being used appropriately. Construction loans are structured with draw schedules — funds are released only after specific milestones are verified. Borrowers often self-fund the initial project phase or may apply for a mobilization draw, a smaller, closely monitored loan intended to cover startup expenses.

Fueling small business growth

Not all small businesses will qualify for traditional loans. That’s where Small Business Administration (SBA) programs come into play.

SBA 7(a) loans provide up to 85 percent loan guarantees, significantly reducing the lender’s risk and encouraging lending to small and growing businesses. These guarantees are not a safety net for default. Borrowers are still held accountable and collateral is pursued before the SBA covers any shortfall.

SBA 504 loans offer another avenue, providing long-term, fixed-rate financing for purchasing real estate, buildings and large equipment. These options are crucial for entrepreneurs looking to seize the opportunities Intel’s investment is creating.

Intel’s investment prepares Central Ohio for progress

Financial institutions are proactively expanding their operations in Central Ohio to meet the demands of this unprecedented economic growth. Many are opening regional hubs, hiring local talent and leveraging advanced technologies to streamline services and improve responsiveness.

For instance, Wells Fargo has established a new technology center in the Easton area of Columbus, expected to generate up to 500 jobs with average annual salaries of $125,000. Regional and community banks are also taking strategic steps, such as partnering with colleges and universities to strengthen talent pipelines and improve workforce readiness.

Institutions are embracing fintech and artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance efficiency, accuracy and scalability. AI tools now support underwriting decisions, smart contract development through blockchain improvements and embedded finance integration — all essential for staying competitive in a fast-evolving market.

Intel creates strategic positioning for financial institutions

To fully capitalize on the economic momentum generated by Intel’s investment, financial institutions must act strategically, proactively positioning themselves to serve both the direct and peripheral financial needs arising in the region. This includes preparing for a substantial increase in commercial lending activity, establishing competitive advantages and reinforcing operational infrastructure.

  1. Expand commercial lending capabilities: Assess commercial lending teams and workflows. Strengthen underwriting capacity and approval efficiency to handle increased loan volume.
  2. Build industry expertise: Develop knowledge of construction, SBA and commercial real estate lending. Partner with experts like Young & Associates for guidance and training.
  3. Strengthen risk management and compliance: Update credit policies, perform stress testing and enhance compliance programs. Ensure regulatory readiness in areas like CRA, fair lending and BSA/AML.
  4. Invest in scalable technology: Modernize systems to improve loan origination, analytics and customer experience. Utilize AI and data tools to increase capacity without sacrificing quality.
  5. Forge local and regional partnerships: Build relationships with developers, contractors and municipalities for early insight and lending opportunities.
  6. Prepare for talent demands: Plan for increased hiring needs. Launch internship programs and partnerships with universities to attract future talent.

Opportunity meets expertise

At Young & Associates and Y&A Credit Services, we support financial institutions navigating increased demands brought on by the Intel development and broader regional growth. Our decades of experience allow us to provide highly specialized consulting in areas such as underwriting, risk management, regulatory compliance and operational scalability.

Our consultants are well-versed in both national regulations and Ohio’s unique financial environment. We remain committed to helping community financial institutions capitalize on opportunity while remaining compliant, competitive and resilient.

Breaking down agricultural production revenue cycles for ag lending

By Craig Horsch, Consultant, Young & Associates

With Ag borrowers facing tight margins in 2025, financial institutions must carefully examine agricultural production revenue cycles to measure each borrower’s actual crop and livestock production against annual projections.

Additionally, measuring and testing each different revenue stream the farmer produces crops (corn, soybeans, wheat, oats, milo, hay, etc.) or livestock (beef cattle, dairy cattle, hogs, chickens, turkeys, sheep, goats or other livestock)

Financial institutions have historically analyzed the grain crops (corn, soybeans, wheat, oats, milo, hay, etc.) revenue production cycle very well; however, livestock revenue streams are not as frequently monitored to evaluate the borrower’s efficiencies within their respective revenue production cycles.

Analyzing the agricultural production revenue cycles

Measuring the revenue production cycles also provides the bank with an opportunity to identify the following:

  • Assess the borrower’s management skills.
  • The accuracy of the borrower’s projections.
  • The efficiencies within the production cycle.
  • The weakness within the production cycle.
  • Financial trends (negative or positive) within the production cycle.
  • Compare actual performance with projected revenue and expenses.
  • Where did the production cycle provide a benefit to the operations?
  • Where did the production cycle provide a detriment to the operations?
  • Were there any surprises (positives or negatives) during the production cycle?
  • Were projections within 10 percent of the actual performance?
  • Were there any critical or unusual events that occurred during the production cycle that negatively impacted revenue?

When underwriting an Ag borrower, consider analyzing and discussing each of the borrower’s revenue streams that contribute toward the repayment of the loan, such as the number of livestock or acres they farm overall, acres owned and leased, the projections for the upcoming year and the percentage each revenue stream contributes to the overall revenue stream. If livestock, discuss the type of livestock (dairy, beef, hogs, chickens, turkey, sheep, goats, etc.), the number of head, if a cow/calf (beef or dairy cattle) or dairy operation, a farrowing only, a finishing only or a farrow to finishing (hogs), a poultry or other livestock operation.

The USDA-ERS projects 2025 net farm income at $179.8 billion, up $52 billion from last year on record livestock prices and government payments.Not all sectors share in the gain. Crop receipts are forecast to fall 2.5 percent, led by declines in corn, soybeans and wheat, while fruits, nuts and cattle continue to rise. These swings, shown in the chart, reflect a long history of volatility. For lenders, the bottom line is clear: repayment risk depends on where borrowers are in the cycle, not just on headline numbers.
The USDA-ERS projects 2025 net farm income at $179.8 billion, up $52 billion from last year on record livestock prices and government payments. Not all sectors share in the gain. Crop receipts are forecast to fall 2.5 percent, led by declines in corn, soybeans and wheat, while fruits, nuts and cattle continue to rise. These swings, shown in the chart, reflect a long history of volatility. For lenders, the bottom line is clear: repayment risk depends on where borrowers are in the cycle, not just on headline numbers.

Discuss production projections for the upcoming year or the number of turns per year (hogs & poultry), etc. By completing this analysis, the bank may be able to identify which revenue stream is the strongest and weakest and which is the largest and smallest contributor to the overall revenue stream.

Identify the sources of revenue, such as grain, dairy, beef, hogs, poultry, sheep, goats or other livestock. Indicate each source’s share of total production in dollar amounts or percentages and explain how often the cycle for each source is completed. It is important to confirm that the producer is accurately capturing pertinent data for each revenue stream.

Projections vs. reality in agricultural production revenue cycles

Compare the production cycle actual performance with the borrower’s projections for the ag related cycle being measured.

  • Are they very accurate based upon the conditions of the respective cycle?
  • Is their revenue production within 10 percent of their budgeted projections?
    1. This is a way to assess the borrower’s budgeting capabilities
    2. Farm management skills
    3. Knowledge of costs
    4. Are they realistic pricing costs & selling commodity prices?
  • Do they know their costs?
  • Provide a look-back period: Are their projections reasonable compared to their actual costs?

Stress Test the borrower’s projections by 10 percent on price and 10 percent on yield to determine where the projected cash flow would be if a major adverse event occurred during the crop or livestock cycle, such as drought, bird flu, hoof & mouth, mastitis, etc.

By analyzing each revenue cycle, banks can identify strengths and weaknesses in a borrower’s management, budgeting, marketing and knowledge of costs and markets, thus improving the credit risk analysis of current or requested facilities.

Federal Crop and Livestock Insurance programs and what’s changing in 2025

By Craig Horsch, Consultant, Young & Associates

Overview of Federal Crop and Livestock Insurance programs

Federal Crop Insurance and Federal Livestock Insurance are supplemental insurances that cover losses which are unavoidable and caused by naturally occurring events. They do not cover losses resulting from negligence or failure to follow good farming practices related to crops and/or livestock.

Federal Crop Insurance Programs include three main programs—Price Loss Coverage (PLC), Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC), and the Marketing Assistance Loan Program (MALP)—as well as the Whole-Farm Revenue Protection Plan 2025 (WFRP), per the USDA Risk Management Agency.

  • PLC overview:

    PLC program payments are issued when the effective price of a covered commodity is less than the effective reference price for that commodity. The effective price is defined as the higher of the market year average price (MYA) or the national average loan rate for the covered commodity. PLC payments are made to owners of historical base acres and are not tied to the current production of covered commodities. Covered commodities include wheat, corn, sorghum, barley, oats, seed cotton, long- and medium-grain rice, certain pulses, soybeans/other oilseeds, and peanuts.

  • ARC overview:

    There are two types of Agriculture Risk Coverage: Agriculture Risk Coverage–County (ARC-CO) and Agriculture Risk Coverage–Individual (ARC-IC).

    • The ARC-CO program provides income support tied to the same historical base acres—not current production—of covered commodities. ARC-CO payments are issued when the actual county crop revenue of a covered commodity is less than the county ARC-CO guarantee for that commodity.
    • ARC-IC provides income support based on a farm’s revenue from current production of covered commodities, compared with a benchmark average of that farm’s production of those commodities. However, payments are limited to a portion of the farm’s historical base acres. This page focuses on ARC-CO; the ARC-IC program has not been widely adopted.
  • MALP overview:

    The MALP allows producers to use eligible commodities they have produced as collateral for government-issued loans. Eligible commodities include wheat, corn, sorghum, barley, oats, upland and extra-long-staple cotton, long- and medium-grain rice, soybeans and other oilseeds, certain pulses, peanuts, sugar, honey, wool, and mohair.

  • WFRP overview:

    WFRP insurance provides coverage against the loss of revenue that you expect to earn or obtain from commodities you produce or purchase for resale during the insurance period, all under a single insurance policy. WFRP offers benefits such as:

    • A range of coverage levels from 50% to 85% to fit the needs of more farming and ranching operations;
    • Replant coverage for annual crops, except Industrial Hemp;
    • The ability to consider market readiness costs as part of the insured revenue;
    • Provisions to adjust the insurance guarantee to better fit expanding operations;
    • An improved timeline for farming operations that operate as fiscal year filers; and
    • Streamlined underwriting procedures based on the forms used for WFRP.WFRP is designed to meet the needs of highly diverse farms that grow a wide range of commodities and sell to wholesale markets. The WFRP policy was specifically developed for farms that market directly to local or regional buyers, sell through identity-preserved channels, and produce specialty crops, animals, and animal products. The amount of farm revenue you can protect with WFRP insurance is the lower of the revenue expected on your current year’s farm plan or your five-year average historic income, adjusted for growth. This represents an insurable revenue amount that can reasonably be expected to be produced on your farm during the insurance period. All commodities produced by the farm are covered under WFRP, except timber, forest and forest products, and animals used for sport, show, or as pets.It is important to understand that WFRP covers revenue produced during the insurance period. For example, if a calf weighs 800 pounds at the beginning of the insurance period and is sold at 1,200 pounds during the insurance period, the value of production will be the additional 400 pounds gained. Inventory adjustments are used to remove production from previous years and to add revenue for production that has not yet been harvested or sold.

Understanding USDA Livestock Insurance programs

Per the USDA Risk Management Agency website, the Federal Livestock Insurance Programs are as follows:

  • Livestock gross margin – Cattle:

    The LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of livestock minus feeder cattle and feed costs) on cattle. The indemnity at the end of the 11-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy uses futures prices to determine both the expected and actual gross margins. Adjustments to futures prices are based on state- and month-specific basis levels. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Eligible producers are those who own cattle in the states of Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Only cattle sold for commercial or private slaughter — primarily intended for human consumption—and fed in one of the eligible states are covered under the LGM for Cattle Insurance Policy.

  • Livestock gross margin – Dairy Cattle:

    The LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of milk minus feed costs) on milk produced from dairy cows. The indemnity at the end of the eleven-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy uses futures prices for corn, soybean meal, and milk to determine the expected and actual gross margins. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Any producer who owns dairy cattle in the contiguous 48 states is eligible for LGM for Dairy Cattle Insurance Policy coverage. Only milk sold for commercial or private sale—primarily intended for final human consumption—from dairy cattle fed in any of the eligible states is covered under this policy.

  • Livestock gross margin – Swine:

    The LGM for Swine Insurance Policy provides protection against the loss of gross margin (market value of livestock minus feed costs) on swine. The indemnity at the end of the 6-month insurance period is the difference, if positive, between the gross margin guarantee and the actual gross margin. The LGM for Swine Insurance Policy uses futures prices to determine both the expected and actual gross margins. The price the producer receives at the local market is not used in these calculations.

    Any producer who owns swine in the 48 contiguous states is eligible for LGM for Swine insurance coverage. Only swine sold for commercial or private slaughter—primarily intended for human consumption—and fed in the 48 contiguous states are eligible for coverage under the LGM for Swine Insurance Policy.

 

Policy outlook: Projected spending impacts of proposed PLC and ARC-CO changes

In light of potential 2025 farm policy changes, the article “Spending Impacts of PLC and ARC-CO in the House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill” by Schnitkey, Paulson, Coppess (University of Illinois), and Zulauf (Ohio State University), published in farmdoc daily, offers valuable insight into the budgetary and structural implications of proposed revisions to two cornerstone commodity programs: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) and Agricultural Risk Coverage at the County Level (ARC-CO).

Key proposed changes

Under the House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill, four primary changes to PLC and ARC-CO are proposed:

1. Statutory reference price increases:

From 2025 to 2030, statutory reference prices for major program crops would increase—for example, from $3.70 to $4.10 per bushel for corn (an 11% increase), from $8.40 to $10.00 for soybeans (19%), and from $5.50 to $6.35 for wheat (15%). Similar increases are also proposed for seed cotton, rice, and peanuts (Schnitkey et al., 2025, Table 1).

2. PLC payment floor adjustments:

The bill proposes new price floors for PLC payments—$3.30 for corn and $0.30 per pound for seed cotton—to limit downside price risk. These new thresholds would reduce outlays in low-price environments by capping PLC payment escalation.

3. ARC-CO enhancements:

Changes to ARC-CO include increasing the coverage level from 86% to 90% and the maximum payment rate from 10% to 12.5% of benchmark revenue, making the program more responsive during periods of reduced revenue.

4. Loan rate increases:

The bill also proposes a 10% increase in the loan rates for the six largest program crops, further enhancing the income safety net (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Budgetary and distributional impacts

The authors estimate that these program changes would raise federal outlays for PLC, ARC-CO, and marketing loan programs from $46.5 billion to $76.4 billion between 2025 and 2035—a 64% increase (Schnitkey et al., 2025, Table 2). However, this increase is not evenly distributed across commodities or regions:

  • Southern crops—notably peanuts, rice, and seed cotton—would see the largest increases in payments per base acre. In contrast, traditional Midwestern crops such as corn and soybeans would receive more modest increases.
  • For farms with 500 base acres, estimated average annual payments under the proposed changes would be:

This disparity stems from differences in statutory reference prices across crops. Southern crops historically have higher relative reference prices, leading to larger government payments — an imbalance that would be widened under the proposed bill (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Political and policy implications

To fund these increased outlays, the House Agriculture Committee is proposing spending reductions from the Nutrition Title, particularly the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). This cost-shifting pits agricultural and nutrition interests against each other and introduces politically sensitive trade-offs that could impact the outcome of future Farm Bill negotiations (Schnitkey et al., 2025).

Why this matters

For agricultural lenders and risk managers, particularly those serving Midwestern crop producers, the proposed updates could affect the farm income landscape, collateral valuations, and overall credit risk. Although support increases are significant for crops like rice and peanuts, the more moderate gains for corn and soybeans mean Midwest producers may see less benefit from the bill in its current form. Understanding the potential outcomes of these policy shifts can help financial institutions refine their risk assessments and prepare clients for what lies ahead.

Staying ahead in a changing agricultural risk landscape

As federal crop and livestock insurance programs evolve — and legislative proposals like those in the 2025 House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill signal substantial shifts in farm subsidy distribution — lenders must be prepared to navigate increased complexity in agricultural credit risk. From changes in PLC and ARC to adjustments in federal loan programs and WFRP, these developments have direct implications for borrower cash flow, collateral valuation, and overall lending strategy.

For financial institutions serving agricultural clients, now is the time to reassess risk management frameworks, update lending practices, and evaluate credit exposures in light of these changes.

Young & Associates has deep expertise in agricultural lending and credit risk analysis. Our team can help your institution proactively adapt, with services that include portfolio review, credit risk management consulting, and tailored support for ag-specific lending challenges. Whether you’re seeking to strengthen underwriting processes or prepare for policy-driven shifts in borrower performance, we’re here to help you respond with confidence.

Explore our lending and credit risk consulting services to learn how we can support your institution’s success in this evolving environment.

References

Coppess, J., C. Zulauf, G. Schnitkey, N. Paulson and B. Sherrick. “Reviewing the House Agriculture Committee’s Reconciliation Bill.” farmdoc daily (15):89, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, May 14, 2025. Permalink

Kalaitzandonakes, M., B. Ellison, T. Malone and J. Coppess. “Consumers’ Expectations about GLP-1 Drugs Economic Impact on Food System Players.” farmdoc daily (15):49, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, March 14, 2025. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., N. Paulson, C. Zulauf and J. Coppess. “Price Loss Coverage: Evaluation of Proportional Increase in Statutory Reference Price and a Proposal.” farmdoc daily (13):203, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, November 7, 2023. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., C. Zulauf, K. Swanson, J. Coppess and N. Paulson. “The Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Option in the 2018 Farm Bill.” farmdoc daily (9):178, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, September 24, 2019. Permalink

Schnitkey, G., N. Paulson, C. Zulauf and J. Coppess. “Spending Impacts of PLC and ARC-CO in House Agriculture Reconciliation Bill.” farmdoc daily (15):93, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, May 20, 2025. Permalink

The importance of field examinations in asset-based lending

By Ollie Sutherin, chief financial officer, Young & Associates

Asset-based lending is a creative financing alternative that will unlock additional working capital for businesses. While it appears more complex than traditional commercial real estate transactions, the appropriate training and education eliminate intimidation. Many community financial institutions tend to avoid asset-based lending opportunities due to the perceived burden of ongoing monitoring. However, with the appropriate due diligence at the outset of a lending relationship, the process becomes significantly more manageable and efficient.

The reality of ongoing monitoring in asset-based lending

Having worked at a small regional bank, I experienced firsthand the detail-oriented process of handling asset-based lending monitoring. Line of credit renewals often relied heavily on borrowing base certificates (BBCs) — many of which lacked accuracy and detail. Field examinations were seldom part of the equation, and decisions were often based on whether the BBC appeared “sufficient” to support the requested loan amount, whether payments were current, and whether principal was being retired in a frequent manner. What was consistently overlooked were several critical elements:

  • Early detection of fraud or irregularities.
  • Evaluation of internal operational controls.
  • Comprehensive and consistent collateral eligibility testing.
  • Longitudinal trend analysis and risk monitoring.

Field exams: A vital tool for risk mitigation

In today’s competitive lending environment, speed and efficiency are crucial. However, it’s imperative not to sacrifice thorough due diligence for the sake of expediency. Relying solely on BBCs without incorporating periodic field examinations introduces significant risk — risk that could far outweigh the relatively modest cost of performing a field exam. The reality is clear: a field exam provides the lender with a deeper understanding of the borrower’s financial health, operational integrity, and collateral quality. The field exam also provides information that can be used to set appropriate advance rates for the various collateral types.

You don’t know what you don’t know

One illustrative example comes from a colleague who shared her first field examination experience shortly after completing her training and certification. She was tasked with examining receivables for a large borrower. Drawing on the tools and methodology she had just mastered, she uncovered a serious case of fraud whereby the borrower was systematically crediting and rebilling invoices once they aged past 90 days. This practice inflated the eligible receivables reported in the BBC and granted the borrower significantly more borrowing availability than permitted… Without the field exam, this fraud would likely have continued undetected — exposing the financial institution to considerable, non-avoidable risk.

While instances like these may not occur every day, they underscore an essential truth: you don’t know what you don’t know. Field examinations offer lenders a proactive mechanism to confirm the integrity of a borrower’s financial reporting and ensure continued creditworthiness. In asset-based lending, that peace of mind over your relationships far outweighs the small investment.

How Y&A can support your lending program

Asset-based lending can open new avenues for community financial institutions, but it also introduces unique risks that require careful, ongoing oversight — particularly through field exams and detailed collateral monitoring. As illustrated, relying solely on surface-level reporting leaves institutions vulnerable to inaccuracies and potential fraud.

Our Y&A Credit Services team provides a wide range of solutions that support strong credit risk management, including credit underwriting, underwriting reviews and credit administration. These services can help your institution build a solid foundation for managing more complex lending relationships like asset-based lending.

If your team is looking to enhance credit processes, improve documentation quality or strengthen internal controls, Young & Associates is here to help you prepare — strategically and confidently — for what’s ahead. Reach out to us today for a free consultation.

CRE stress testing for banks: A crucial tool in a post-COVID world

By Jerry Sutherin, CEO at Young & Associates

Despite having limited requirements as defined by interagency guidance, the case can be made for requiring community financial institutions to have regular stress tests performed on their commercial real estate loan portfolios.

Emerging challenges in commercial real estate lending

Recent post-COVID events have resulted in a heightened concern with regulators as it relates to commercial real estate. Most notably, interest rates have increased 525 bps from March 2022 through July 2023. This correlates with the level of commercial loan delinquencies over that same period as noted in the chart below. This is further exacerbated the “work from home culture” and office vacancies increasing over the same period.

The ultimate impact on the commercial real estate sector is weaker NOIs, coverage ratios that are insufficient to meet loan covenants, higher Cap Rates and lower valuations. For those loans locked into a lower rate, the issue now becomes; what happens when loans mature or reset? That is occurring now.

CRE Composition and Delinquency at US Banks Chart - S&P Global

Regulatory expectations for bank stress testing

Regulatory expectations for community bank stress testing initiatives have been set in both formal regulatory guidance and through more informal publications and statements. An interagency statement was released in May 2012 to provide clarification of supervisory expectations for stress testing by community banks.[1]

The issuance specifically stated that community banks are not required or expected to conduct the types of enterprise stress tests specifically articulated for larger institutions in rules implementing Dodd-Frank stress testing requirements, the agencies’ capital plan for larger institutions, or as described in interagency stress testing guidance for organizations with more than $10 billion in total consolidated assets.

OCC guidance on stress testing practices

However, in October 2012, the OCC provided additional guidance to banks on using stress testing to identify and quantify risk in the loan portfolio and to help establish effective strategic and capital planning processes.[2] The guidance reiterated that complex, enterprise-wide stress testing is not required of community banks. It also states that some stress testing of loan portfolios by community banks is considered to be an important part of sound risk management.

In the guidance, the OCC does not endorse a particular stress testing method for community banks; however, the guidance also discusses common elements that a community bank should consider, including asking plausible “what if” questions about key vulnerabilities; making a reasonable determination of how much impact the stress event or factor might have on earnings and capital; and incorporating the resulting analysis into the bank’s overall risk management process, asset/liability strategies, and strategic and capital planning processes.

The OCC bulletin also provides a simple example of a stress testing framework for community banks. In the summer of 2012, the FDIC also provided further guidance related to community bank stress testing in the Supervisory Insights Summer Edition.[3]

Interagency guidance on commercial real estate risk

Perhaps the most significant piece of guidance related to loan portfolio stress testing for community banks is the 2006 interagency Concentrations in Commercial Real Estate Lending, Sound Risk Management Practices.[4] The continuing importance of and regulatory emphasis on this guidance was made clear in December 2015 when the interagency Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending[5] was released, which reiterated the importance of the principles described in the 2006 CRE Guidance.

The 2006 CRE Guidance describes several important practices for effectively managing the risks associated with CRE lending, especially concentration risk. Portfolio stress testing of the CRE portfolio is described as a critical risk management tool for institutions with CRE concentrations.

Examiner expectations for portfolio-level stress testing

While community banks have not been pushed to perform the enterprise-wide stress testing that the above guidance specifically states is not expected of them, examiner expectations for portfolio-level loan stress tests have continued to increase over time and are becoming more prevalent during a bank’s recurring exams. These expectations are centered on portfolios that represent significant concentrations and, given the perceived level of risk and the existence of the 2006 CRE Guidance, are therefore most focused on CRE portfolios.

A reasonable and well-documented approach to CRE portfolio stress testing, undertaken at appropriately frequent intervals such as on an annual basis, is the most effective way for community banks to meet examiner expectations and to contribute toward effective risk management of CRE concentrations.

Regulatory criteria for CRE concentration risk

The guidance also states that strong risk management practices (with stress testing being one of the most important) and appropriate levels of capital are important elements of a sound CRE lending program. Particularly when an institution has a concentration in CRE loans. It then lays out the criteria regulatory agencies utilize as a preliminary means of identifying institutions that are potentially exposed to significant CRE concentration risk:

  1. Total reported loans for construction, land development, and other land represent 100% percent or more of total capital, or
  2. Total commercial real estate loans (as described above) represent 300% or more of the institution’s total capital. The outstanding balance has increased by 50% or more during the prior 36 months.

Concentration Levels Chart

The guidance is clear that these thresholds do not constitute limits on an institution’s lending activity and are instead intended to function as a high-level indicator of institutions potentially exposed to CRE concentration risk. Conversely, being below these thresholds also does not constitute a “safe harbor” for institutions if other risk indicators are present such as poor underwriting or poor performance metrics such as deteriorating risk rating migration and delinquency.

Case study: Loan portfolio concentration levels

As noted in the example above, the figures indicate that the bank does not have a high level of construction, and land development loans as the balances do not exceed the 100% threshold level as a percentage of total capital. However, the Bank has exceeded the 300% threshold of non-owner-occupied real estate loans as calculated under the 2006 CRE Guidance.  Additionally, the Bank’s three-year growth rate in this category was 72.7%, which is greater than the 50% reference level that constitutes the second part of the two-part regulatory test for a heightened concentration in this category.

Impact of loan acquisitions

It should also be noted that regulatory guidance does not differentiate between organic growth and commercial real estate growth via acquisition. Therefore, all such loans acquired does impact the ratios noted in the concentration chart above.

Loss estimation in bank stress testing

The basic premise for any stress test modeling is to identify moderate / high loss estimates. Then look at the impact to capital on a loan-level basis as well as portfolio-wide. While some community banks provide some stress testing on a transactional basis at origination, the output is typically limited to scenarios that focus primarily on future interest rate fluctuations.

CRE stress test modeling, on the other hand, allows for an organization to gauge potential losses of the CRE portfolio using internal core loan-level data as well as call report data while factoring in other variables that could influence the ultimate collectability of commercial real estate loans.

Loan-level or bottom-up stress testing

The bottom-up or loan-level portion of the stress test estimates losses under the stress scenarios on a loan-by-loan basis. The loan selection is typically a function of the desired penetration identified by the organization. It’s comprised mostly of larger transactions with a sampling of newer originations and adversely risk rated transactions.

In this portion of the analysis, various stress factors are applied to the NOI, collateral value, and interest rate for each loan identified by the Bank. This information, coupled with the transaction’s debt service coverage, liquidation costs and Cap Rates help form a possible loan-level loss for each loan in moderate and in moderate and high-risk scenarios.

Top-down stress testing

To ensure that the entire CRE portfolio is stressed, a useful model would use a top-down loss estimation method to “fill in” losses on the remaining portfolio for which loan-level information was not provided. This is accomplished by comparing the total balances for which loan-level data was provided in each of the various categories (construction and land development, multifamily, and all other non-owner occupied CRE) to the Bank’s call report. Losses are estimated on the amount of exposure for which loan-level information was not provided by applying a top-down loss rate.

The Moderate and High Stress Scenarios below are determined by applying the loss rates included in the stress test example in the 2012 OCC guidance on community bank stress testing. These loss rates represent two-year loss rates, consistent with the OCC’s stress testing guidance.

Top-Down Loss Rates Chart

Enhancing portfolio oversight and credit risk management

Collectively, the “bottom-up (loan level)” and “top-down” moderate and high stress scenarios provide a global overview of a bank’s CRE portfolio and its potential impact to capital. Knowing that this is not a replacement for an enterprise-wide stress test. However, it allows a bank to provide its management, board of directors and regulators with some context of the estimated losses in this segment of their loan portfolio. It also serves as an effective supplement to their internal or third-party loan review.

Historically speaking, any situation in which significant weakness is experienced in critical market and economic factors will result in credit losses that are elevated above those that a bank experiences in “normal” times if unprepared. There is no replacement for appropriate credit administration, however all banks should always utilize tools such as stress testing to enhance their oversight of the metrics behind their CRE portfolio.

Financial institution performance and ultimately their ongoing safety and soundness are dependent on the performance of the Bank’s CRE portfolio. It is critical that management and the board of directors ensure that the bank emphasizes effective implementation of the risk management elements discussed in the 2006 CRE Guidance. These elements include:

  • Continued effective board and management oversight,
  • Effective portfolio management,
  • Ensuring that management information systems are able to provide the information necessary for effective risk management,
  • Performing periodic market analysis and stress testing,
  • Regularly evaluating the appropriateness of credit underwriting standards, and
  • Maintaining an effective credit risk review function

If a financial institution is successful in these endeavors, their CRE loan portfolio should continue to contribute positively to their performance. Accordingly, I am a proponent of all community financial institutions having a stress test performed regularly. This helps to ensure the performance of that segment of their loan portfolio as well as the entire organization.

Partner with Young & Associates for expert CRE stress testing

Navigating the complexities of commercial real estate stress testing can be challenging, especially with evolving regulatory expectations and economic uncertainties. At Young & Associates, we offer specialized CRE and Ag portfolio stress testing services designed to address these very challenges. With over 45 years of experience, our team understands the intricacies of regulatory guidance. We can provide your community bank with the insights needed to enhance strategic and capital planning.

Our proven stress testing model assesses the potential impacts of adverse economic conditions. This helps you manage risk effectively and comply with regulatory expectations. We provide actionable insights to guide your loan product design and underwriting standards. This eases the burden of stress testing and supporting your institution’s resilience.

Choose Young & Associates for a partnership that combines deep industry knowledge with a commitment to excellence. Let us help you stay ahead of regulatory demands and strengthen your CRE portfolio management. Reach out to us now to schedule a consultation.

 


[1]              FDIC, PR 54-2012, Statement to Clarify Supervisory Expectations for Stress Testing by Community Banks. May 14, 2012.

[2]              OCC Bulletin 2012-33, Community Bank Stress Testing: Supervisory Guidance. October 18, 2012.

[3]              FDIC Supervisory Insights, 9(1).” Summer 2012.

[4]              FDIC FIL-104-2006, OCC Bulletin 2006-46, FRB SR 07-1, Concentrations in Commercial Real Estate Lending, Sound Risk Management Practices. December 12, 2006.

[5]              FDIC FIL-62-2015, OCC Bulletin 2015-51, FRB SR 15-17, Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending. December 18, 2015.

 

Spotlight on Compliance Training: Showalter Featured in In Touch Magazine

Young & Associates’ Expert Shares Insights on Compliance Training

William Showalter, CRCM, CRP, a Senior Consultant with Young & Associates, was recently featured in an issue of In Touch Magazine, the publication of the Community Bankers Association of Kansas. The article, “Training: The Foundation of Effective Compliance,” underscores the critical role that comprehensive training plays in building and maintaining a robust compliance program within financial institutions.

Training: The Bedrock of Compliance

In his article, Showalter highlights a timeless truth: employees can’t be expected to comply with laws and regulations if they haven’t been properly instructed on them. Training is the bedrock upon which a thriving compliance program is built, enabling institutions to manage compliance risks effectively. With over 20 years of experience transitioning into a new compliance management model, Showalter emphasizes pushing responsibility and involvement down to the front lines, making well-versed employees essential for success.

Why Train? Reducing Risk and Ensuring Compliance

Training employees in compliance is not just about meeting regulatory requirements; it’s about reducing the risk of noncompliance. Showalter points out that educating the bank’s board of directors, management, and staff is essential for maintaining an effective compliance program. Compliance training helps mitigate various risks identified by federal banking supervisors, including compliance risk, transaction or operational risk, and reputation risk.

Customizing Training Programs for Success

Effective compliance training varies from one institution to another. Showalter offers practical guidance on setting up a successful compliance training program, stressing the importance of a thorough needs assessment. Identifying the types of products and services offered, the regulations impacting these processes, and the current knowledge level of staff are crucial steps in this process. The article also provides insights into choosing the right format and media for training, from online programs to classroom-style sessions, ensuring that the training is relevant and engaging for all employees.

Keeping Compliance on Track: Testing and Record-Keeping

An essential component of any training process is testing to measure success and maintain records. Showalter emphasizes the need for continuous assessment and refresher training to keep up with evolving regulations and ensure that all employees remain knowledgeable and compliant.

William Showalter’s expertise and practical advice in this article underscore the importance of a proactive approach to compliance training, helping financial institutions navigate the complex regulatory landscape with confidence. For more insights and to read the full article, click here. Stay informed with the Community Bankers Association of Kansas and discover more industry insights in In Touch Magazine — the leading publication dedicated exclusively to serving the interests of Kansas community banks.

Regulatory Compliance Training for Financial Institutions

Investing in the training and development of your staff is the most important investment your financial institution can make. Competent, well-trained employees not only ensure compliance but also contribute to the overall success and profitability of your institution.

Young & Associates is a national leader in continuing education and training for financial professionals. Our consultants bring unmatched real-world expertise in topics such as lending, underwriting, regulatory compliance, and director development. We offer a wide range of education and training services for financial professionals. Our training is flexible, with options for off-site, in-house, and virtual sessions, all customized to meet the specific needs and objectives of your institution.

Take a proactive approach to regulatory compliance with our comprehensive training for your personnel. Whether you need to establish a compliance program or update your knowledge on changing regulations, our training provides the latest information and techniques for maintaining an effective internal program. Topics include the Bank Secrecy Act, Privacy, Fair Lending, and more, all customized to the specific needs of your institution. Investing in our training services helps ensure compliance and boosts your institution’s overall success.

We also offer the Community Bankers for Compliance Program (CBC), the longest-running compliance program in the country. This program equips banks with comprehensive tools for managing in-house compliance, including live seminars, webinars, a compliance hotline, a members-only portal, and a monthly newsletter.

Discover our full range of compliance training services and explore our comprehensive regulatory compliance consulting offerings.

Contact us today to see how we can support your bank or credit union in achieving your strategic goals.

Understanding ACH Risk Management for Community Financial Institutions

Automated Clearing House (ACH) risk management is a topic of paramount importance for community financial institutions. In the realm of modern banking, ACH payments have emerged as a cornerstone of electronic fund transfers, offering unparalleled efficiency and convenience for businesses and consumers alike. However, with the benefits of ACH come inherent risks that financial institutions must proactively address to safeguard their operations and protect their stakeholders.

Spectrum of ACH Risk Categories

From compliance and credit risk to fraud, operational challenges, and systemic vulnerabilities, each facet of ACH risk poses unique challenges and demands strategic foresight and diligent risk mitigation efforts. By understanding the intricacies of ACH risk management, financial institutions can fortify their resilience and ensure compliance with regulatory standards while fostering trust and reliability in the digital banking ecosystem.

The Five Basic Types of ACH Risk

1. ACH Requirements Compliance Risk

Compliance risk encompasses the threat of legal or regulatory sanctions, financial loss, or damage to reputation resulting from failure to comply with laws, regulations, and internal policies. For community financial institutions processing ACH transactions, compliance risk looms large due to the intricate web of regulations governing ACH transfers, including Regulation E and Article 4A of the Uniform Commercial Code, as well as Bank Secrecy Act/Anti-Money Laundering (BSA/AML) requirements, and the NACHA Rules and Guidelines. Institutions must conduct comprehensive ACH reviews to ensure adherence to regulatory standards and promptly rectify any violations or errors detected.

2. Credit Risk From ACH Transactions

Credit risk arises from the potential for financial loss due to the failure of parties involved in ACH transactions to fulfill their payment obligations. Community financial institutions face credit risk when originating or receiving ACH transactions, especially with the proliferation of high-risk activities such as nonrecurring payments. Establishing rigorous underwriting standards, evaluating originator creditworthiness, and setting appropriate exposure limits are crucial risk mitigation strategies for managing credit risk effectively.

3. Fraud Risk

Fraud risk encompasses the threat of unauthorized or deceptive activities resulting in financial loss or reputational damage. With the increasing sophistication of fraudulent schemes targeting ACH transactions, community financial institutions must remain vigilant against fraudulent activities such as account takeover, unauthorized returns, and unauthorized transactions. Implementing robust authentication measures, monitoring transaction patterns for anomalies, and conducting regular audits of third-party service providers are essential components of an effective fraud risk management framework.

4. ACH Processing Operational Risk 

Operational risk stems from the potential for disruptions or failures in internal processes, systems, or human factors leading to financial loss or operational inefficiencies. Community financial institutions face operational risk in ACH processing operations due to factors such as technological failures, human error, and inadequate controls. Implementing comprehensive policies and procedures, ensuring adequate training for staff, and conducting regular audits of ACH operations are critical steps in mitigating operational risk.

5. Systemic Risk

Systemic risk refers to the threat of widespread disruptions or failures within the financial system resulting from interconnectedness and interdependencies among institutions and market participants. While individual community financial institutions may have limited exposure to systemic risk in ACH processing, they remain vulnerable to broader systemic events impacting the financial industry as a whole. Vigilance, collaboration with industry stakeholders, and contingency planning are essential strategies for managing systemic risk effectively.

Effective ACH Risk Management for Community Financial Institutions

In conclusion, effective ACH risk management is paramount for community financial institutions to navigate the evolving landscape of electronic payments and uphold their commitments to regulatory compliance, financial integrity, and customer or member trust. By understanding and addressing the five basic types of ACH risk—compliance, credit, fraud, operational, and systemic—financial institutions can fortify their resilience and sustain long-term success in the dynamic world of electronic banking.

Young & Associates offers ACH self-assessment reviews, where our compliance experts evaluate your policies, procedures, and test components to ensure compliance with the NACHA Operating Guidelines. For tailored guidance to your unique circumstances, reach out to our team of experts. You can rely on us to navigate the regulatory compliance landscape and keep your financial institution on the path to success. Contact us today.

Managing CRE Credit Risk Amid Market Shifts

By: Jerry Sutherin, President & CEO of Young & Associates

The landscape of commercial real estate (CRE) lending is shifting due to current economic events, presenting both challenges and opportunities for community financial institutions deeply entrenched in this sector. The challenges range from the profound impact of remote work trends and the uncertain future of office spaces to growing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates bringing CRE risk into the spotlight. This volatility has garnered increased attention from internal and external stakeholders, as well as regulatory authorities. Consequently, identifying the most pressing threats among these challenges and proactively mitigating risk has become a top priority for financial institutions with CRE exposure.

In the face of rising interest rates and delinquencies, many financial institutions are preparing to confront these economic stressors. In fact, some were already scaling back lending before the recent collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. We have all witnessed the tightening of lending standards resulting from that event, and many analysts anticipate further tightening among all community financial institutions. This constriction is also impacted by limited deposits and liquidity forcing financial institutions to be selective in how they deploy their capital. These facts leave many analysts predicting when credit problems will emerge in the CRE sector.

The evidence speaks for itself. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, the delinquency rate for all CRE loans held in U.S. banks has increased by five basis points year over year. Moreover, within a single quarter earlier this year, the delinquency rate for nonowner-occupied nonresidential property loans spiked by a significant 24 basis points. This has led to tighter lending standards at origination, reflecting the concerns of institutions. Further, financial institutions are taking proactive measures to mitigate CRE risk after origination. Some have set aside high-single-digit percentage allowances for office loans. Others have reduced exposure through portfolio sales. Overall, loan originations have fallen, CRE sales have slumped, and forecasts indicate a drop in CRE prices.

The tightening of lending standards, the slowdown in the growth of CRE loans, and the impact on loan originations have emerged as central concerns in the financial sector. What unifies these factors is their inherent risk and whether they act as warning signals or responses. Managing CRE credit risk is undeniably intricate, but leveraging available strategies and tools empowers community banks, credit unions, and financial institutions to effectively navigate the ever-changing CRE lending sector. This enables them to proactively assess and plan for risk mitigation, rather than merely react to these changes.

Understanding Commercial Real Estate Risk

As CRE loans represent a substantial part of many banks’ loan portfolios and higher yielding assets, especially within community financial institutions, understanding the significance of CRE credit risk is paramount. Community banks and credit unions often operate in areas experiencing job and population growth, leading to a high demand for CRE lending and, in turn, a high concentration of CRE loans. This growth and its corresponding effects on loan portfolio concentration pose new challenges for banks in terms of risk monitoring and control.

While larger financial institutions commonly maintain experienced staff and even entire departments to manage these risks, it is generally not cost effective for smaller financial institutions to hire and maintain qualified resources to help mitigate the inherent risks. In the absence of an internal CRE risk management team, it is imperative for financial institutions to rely on independent third-party resources to assist in this crucial process.

Historical Context and Lessons from Past Experiences

A retrospective examination underscores the importance of proactive risk management. Many significant historical banking failures were largely attributed to overinvestment in CRE loans and the lack of an effective risk management process. Weak underwriting standards and poor portfolio management led to an oversupply of CRE properties and borrower defaults. Over time, regulatory improvements, such as stricter underwriting and risk management requirements, have been implemented. Nevertheless, predicting the future remains uncertain. We can only analyze past patterns and the shortcomings to properly assess future risks.

In 2023, community and regional financial institutions comprise approximately 72% of the CRE loan market, taking on an above-average amount of CRE credit exposure. Recognizing such circumstances is vital, as you should be alert to potential red flags. Identifying and managing CRE credit risk is critical.

Identifying Emerging CRE Risk

A comprehensive understanding of CRE credit risk highlights the increasing complexity of its landscape. CRE credit risk is multifaceted, with numerous risk categories affecting CRE lending, including market risk, asset risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk, among others. To construct a robust risk management strategy, all these variables must be explored and considered.

To assess your financial institution’s CRE loan segment’s health, a systematic approach is needed. When determining if your CRE portfolio exceeds your institution’s risk appetite and how to quantify that risk and respond effectively, the answers lie in developing a comprehensive, tailored framework for assessing and analyzing your CRE loan market. The most recent regulatory interagency Statement on Prudent Risk Management for Commercial Real Estate Lending notes that institutions that successfully monitored risk have:

  • Established appropriate loan policies, underwriting standards, and concentration limits.
  • Conducted cash flow analyses based on realistic rates and expenses to ensure repayment ability and assessed borrowers’ ability to repay during interest rate fluctuations and loan structure changes.
  • Analyzed the impact of economic changes on the loan portfolio’s quality, earnings, and capital.
  • Provided boards and management with information to adapt lending strategies in changing market conditions.
  • Maintained information systems to manage concentration risk effectively.
  • Implemented appropriate appraisal review and collateral valuation processes.

With the many challenges faced by community financial institutions, the need to effectively identify, measure, and manage these risks has become paramount. While established best practices exist to address these risks, financial institutions must transition from assessing each risk in isolation to recognizing the interconnectedness and synergy between them. A more holistic approach to risk management is required, allowing institutions to confidently inform their capital planning, risk tolerance, and overarching strategy.

Strengthening CRE Risk Management in Community Financial Institutions

A comprehensive risk management strategy empowers financial institutions to adapt to market dynamics, instilling confidence among stakeholders and regulators. Alongside the factors discussed in the previous section, regulatory guidelines highlight two critical facets of CRE risk management: stress testing and portfolio reviews. While community financial institutions can execute these internally, outsourcing can offer efficiency and effectiveness.

CRE Portfolio Stress Testing

Stress testing and sensitivity analyses are indispensable tools for evaluating CRE risk and gauging the impact of economic fluctuations on asset quality, earnings, and capital. These assessments should align with the portfolio’s size and risk profile. CRE stress tests inform strategic and capital planning, credit concentration limits, policy, and underwriting. Integrating stress testing into risk management and strategic planning is essential to anticipate and mitigate risks, especially given current market uncertainties.

Although loan-level stress testing serves a purpose on a transactional level at origination, financial institutions should also regularly perform portfolio-level stress testing that encompasses a bottoms-up and a top-down approach. The bottom-up approach allows financial institutions to gauge the risks of individual, seasoned loans by stressing each transaction through interest rate changes, collateral values, and other market factors. Implying moderate and high stress scenarios to each transaction allows for early identification of potential losses and their impact on the capital of your organization. The top-down approach takes the remaining portfolio not identified on a loan-level analysis and uses the same stressors to further identify any possible impact to capital.

Independent Loan Reviews for CRE Risk Mitigation

Thorough loan reviews are pivotal for identifying and mitigating potential CRE portfolio risks. They enable banks to assess loan quality, maintain compliance with regulations, and make necessary adjustments on a loan and portfolio level. An effective loan review function is crucial for assessing asset quality, evaluating underwriting and ongoing monitoring, and identifying exceptions to policies. Proactive issue resolution ensures risk mitigation before regulatory scrutiny or asset quality deterioration.

To further safeguard against future losses, it is critical that a loan review be independent. If maintained internally at the organization, it should report directly to the audit committee of the board of directors or the full board of directors. If a third-party firm is contracted to perform this work, it too should report all findings to the board of directors or a committee thereof.

Tactical Approaches to Limit CRE Risk in an Unpredictable Market

To minimize exposure to CRE credit risk, institutions should enhance communication with borrowers, allocate additional resources for portfolio management, understand collateral, and manage interest rate risk. Effective market area monitoring, adaptable to the institution’s unique risk exposure and appetite, is essential. Clear communication of risk tolerance from the board down to lending staff fosters alignment and clarity.

Community financial institutions must not become complacent in their approach to risk management. It is critical to remain agile and continually adapt to changing environments and emerging risks, especially in the currently volatile realm of CRE lending. By staying proactive and employing a comprehensive risk assessment and management approach, banks and credit unions can successfully address CRE credit risk, safeguard their portfolios, and maintain their success.

Optimize Your Risk Management Strategies with Young & Associates

With over four decades of experience, Y&A specializes in helping community financial institutions manage risk. Our enduring presence in the industry reflects our ability to adapt to evolving financial landscapes. Our seasoned consultants, who have backgrounds in banking, bring firsthand experience of market fluctuations.

Outsourcing CRE Stress Testing

Young & Associates offers a CRE portfolio stress testing service that efficiently and insightfully assesses your portfolio. Using data specific to your bank, we stress your CRE portfolio across various factors. Our report quantifies potential impacts on earnings and capital resulting from collateral value decreases, changes in property net operating incomes, or increases in interest rates. What sets us apart is our ability to handle the stress testing process efficiently, allowing your institution’s management to focus on other important initiatives.

Outsourcing Loan Review

For most community financial institutions, outsourced loan review is the best choice due to size and the need for an independent party. Our loan review service, applied to your CRE portfolio, not only uncovers individual credit assessments but also evaluates the alignment of your credit standards, analysis, and continuous credit monitoring with the specific characteristics of your CRE portfolio. Our findings not only inform you about existing portfolio risks but also provide recommendations for effective risk management.

Contact us to explore how we can support your journey in addressing CRE credit risk effectively.

The Art of Safe Lending: How to Mitigate Commercial Loan Underwriting Risks

By: Ollie Sutherin, Principal of Y&A Credit Services

Community financial institutions have long been known for their agility and personalized service, excelling at creating unique lending solutions and facilitating distinct transactions. However, the very attributes that have set them apart may now present fresh challenges as they seek to expand. Community banks and credit unions find themselves navigating a delicate equilibrium: effectively managing underwriting risk, diversifying their loan portfolios, and growing to better serve their communities. 

Additionally, the world of commercial loan underwriting presents its own distinctive challenges that further complicate finding this equilibrium. Commercial loan underwriting standards, in particular, are designed to foster relationship banking rather than transactional interactions. Loans are underwritten based on the borrower’s anticipated ability to operate their business profitably and service the debt being requested. However, the actual cash flows of borrowers can often deviate from expectations, and the value of collateral securing these loans may fluctuate. Most commercial loans are secured by the assets they finance, along with other business assets such as accounts receivable or inventory, and sometimes entail personal guarantees. Loans secured by accounts receivable heavily rely on the borrower’s ability to collect due amounts from customers. These complexities create a web of considerations for underwriters. 

Effective management of a community financial institution’s loan portfolio necessitates a strategic approach guided by skilled underwriters who play a pivotal role in mitigating underwriting risks in commercial lending. 

The After Effects of the SVB Collapse 

A little over six months have passed since the financial world experienced a seismic shift when a prominent regional bank collapsed. This event sent shockwaves throughout the banking sector, triggering a chain reaction that affected numerous other financial institutions, both regional and local. These far-reaching consequences have also left their mark on various aspects of community bank and credit union operations. 

Risk management has always held a pivotal role in credit underwriting, and its significance has become more pronounced in today’s ever-volatile environment. As we navigate an era of monetary tightening, global inflationary pressures, and increasing interest rates, underwriters find themselves under increased scrutiny. In the past, cheap funding was abundant, but now, risk-appropriate pricing is paramount for funding new deals. Underwriters must balance a new interest rate environment with the heightened lending and refinancing risks, necessitating increased diligence in risk assessments when extending credit and negotiating terms. 

To shed light on this matter, we will explore effective strategies for community financial institutions to limit underwriting risk in commercial lending, ensuring they can thrive while maintaining a prudent approach to lending.  

Comprehensive Credit Analysis 

The cornerstone of any sound underwriting process is conducting a comprehensive credit analysis. This involves digging deep into the current financial health of the borrower, their business, and the industry they operate in. By meticulously assessing factors like cash flow, collateral, and credit history, you can gain a clearer picture of the borrower’s ability to repay the loan. 

Moreover, consider working with an experienced outsourced credit underwriting service like Y&A Credit Services to ensure you have access to the latest data, analytical tools, and expertise in evaluating commercial loans. Our team of experts can assist from reviewing your analysis to completely underwriting the transaction, ensuring you have all the information to help you make informed lending decisions. 

Diversification of Loan Portfolios 

Diversification is a risk management principle that rings true in commercial lending as well. By diversifying your loan portfolios across various industries and business types, you can reduce your exposure to sector-specific risks. A balanced mix of loans in manufacturing, real estate, healthcare, and other sectors can help buffer your institution against economic downturns that may affect a particular industry. 

Loan Covenants and Monitoring 

Establishing clear and enforceable loan covenants is another key step in limiting underwriting risk. These covenants set out the terms and conditions under which the borrower must operate and repay the loan. Regularly monitoring the borrower’s compliance with these covenants and requesting the most current information from your borrower is equally important. It allows you to detect early warning signs of financial distress and take corrective action sooner when you have more options for a successful outcome for both your borrower and your institution. 

Loan Portfolio Stress Testing 

In an ever-changing economic landscape, stress testing is an invaluable tool for gauging how your loan portfolio would perform under adverse conditions. By modeling various scenarios against your portfolio, you can assess your institution’s vulnerability to economic shocks and make proactive adjustments to your lending practices. 

Ongoing Training and Education 

Staying up to date with the latest industry trends, regulations, and best practices is essential. Encourage your staff to engage in ongoing training and education programs related to commercial lending and underwriting. This ensures that your institution’s underwriting processes remain current and effective. 

Regular Commercial Loan Underwriting Reviews 

To maintain the health of your loan portfolio, it’s crucial to conduct regular reviews of your commercial loan underwriting practices. This ensures that your institution’s standards and processes align with the evolving landscape of commercial lending. It also allows you to make necessary adjustments and refinements to minimize underwriting risks continuously. 

Outsourcing Commercial Credit Underwriting 

Third party assistance for commercial credit underwriting can be a strategic move to ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of your underwriting processes and relieve your institution of the need to maintain an up-to-date full-time staff.   Professional outsourced services, like Y&A Credit Services, offer expertise, access to advanced analytical tools, and an impartial perspective, helping your institution make sound lending decisions and maintain high underwriting standards.  These services can be implemented from fully outsourced to fractional, helping assist during peaks in volume.  

Y&A Credit Services’ Guidance in Commercial Underwriting 

Mitigating underwriting risk in commercial lending stands as a pivotal cornerstone for upholding the financial health and stability of community banks and credit unions, especially in the wake of the industry upheaval earlier this year. By implementing comprehensive credit analysis, diversifying loan portfolios, enforcing loan covenants, conducting stress tests, and investing in ongoing training, regular reviews, and outsourcing, you can confidently navigate the complexities of commercial lending while minimizing risks and enhance your institution’s lending capabilities. 

At Y&A Credit Services, we understand the importance of risk management in commercial lending, and we’re here to guide you through the process. Our outsourced credit underwriting services are designed to provide community banks and credit unions with the expertise and resources needed to make sound lending decisions. Together, we can build a more secure lending future for your institution, helping our communities one loan at a time. 

Contact us today to learn how we can help. 

Considerations for AI Adoption at Community Financial Institutions

By: Mike Detrow, CISSP 

You have probably seen the headlines claiming that artificial intelligence (AI) models such as ChatGPT will soon replace many human jobs. Marketing campaigns are also touting the use of AI by vendors to improve the effectiveness of their data analysis tools. If you have not already started to think about the application of AI for banking operations, you will likely be evaluating it soon. Just as with any other risk management practice, it is best to evaluate new technologies proactively rather than waiting until your vendors force you to use them or your employees begin using them without your knowledge. 

The purpose of this article is to identify the risks associated with machine learning and generative AI that you should consider as you are evaluating use cases for AI at your financial institution. Machine learning is the use of training data and algorithms that allow computers to imitate intelligent human behavior more realistically. Generative AI uses machine learning to allow a computer to generate new content such as text, images, video, or sounds based on specific input provided by a user.  

The Role of AI in Financial Institutions: A Look at Practical Applications 

First, let’s explore potential use cases for AI in community financial institutions. Some of the applications that we have seen so far include: 

  • Document development, such as job descriptions, policies, and marketing materials 

Risk Factors for AI Implementation in Community Financial Institutions 

Next, let’s examine some of the potential risks associated with the use of AI in community banks and credit unions. One of the biggest concerns with the use of AI is the security of non-public information. Entering such data into an AI model that is not under the complete control of the financial institution or one of the institution’s vendors introduces the risk of this information being disclosed, resulting in the potential misuse of this sensitive data. 

In addition to security concerns, there are other risks which should be considered. Results provided by AI-driven decision-making models could be biased based on the data that was used to train the model. Also, the information provided by AI models may be inaccurate or misleading, which could inadvertently result in an employee disseminating such incorrect information if not thoroughly vetted.  

Building a Strong Foundation for AI Risk Management within Your Financial Institution 

Now that you are aware of the risks associated with AI, what should you do to evaluate its potential within your bank or credit union? To safeguard your financial institution in the era of rapid AI adoption, it’s imperative to set guidelines early. The first step is to establish a group within your institution that will provide oversight for AI. If you already have an IT Steering Committee, this role will likely be assigned to this committee as it should already include the appropriate employees for this task. If you do not have an IT Steering Committee, you should consider establishing a cross-functional group of employees drawn from various areas of the institution to handle AI oversight. 

The first initiative for your AI oversight group should include a discovery process to identify any existing use of AI at the financial institution. It is possible that employees are already using ChatGPT to help develop marketing materials, for writing scripts or macros, or they may be using web browser plugins to improve productivity. Some of your vendors may also be using AI for various tasks associated with delivering services to your financial institution or customers, such as AML models, loan underwriting, and website virtual assistants or chatbots 

This group should develop a plan to identify any employee use of AI, whether it be through engaging in conversations with employees or potentially through employing the use of web traffic analysis. Keep in mind that your IT staff may not be the only employees that are potentially using AI within your financial institution.  

Additionally, your AI oversight group should review vendor documentation and, if deemed necessary, reach out to vendors to determine how they may be using AI. The purpose of this discovery process is to determine whether any non-public data has been put at risk based on any current or prior use of AI by employees or vendors so that appropriate actions can be taken to address any potential data misuse and prevent any further inappropriate AI usage.  

Once the AI oversight group has identified existing utilization of AI by employees and vendors and addressed any potential security concerns, the next step is to formally establish the institution’s risk appetite related to AI. This is achieved by documenting it within a policy that will be approved by the board and provided to employees for their acknowledgement. You should consider the following criteria within your policy: 

  • Definition of AI and the associated risks 
  • Authorization Process: Clearly defined IT Steering Committee approval requirements for new use cases. 
  • Vendor Risk Management: Due diligence practices for new vendors and ongoing monitoring of existing vendors to understand their AI usage and the potential risks involved. 
  • Acceptable Use: Employee guidelines for the usage of AI models such as ChatGPT and browser plugins, data security, output verification process, etc. 
  • Ethical and Legal Requirements: Guidelines for nondiscrimination, regulatory compliance, and adherence to other institution policies. 
  • Intellectual Property Protection: Measures to safeguard intellectual property rights and copyrighted material. 
  • Incident Response: Procedures to detect and report any suspected security incidents. 

It is important to note that it is likely not feasible to implement an outright ban of AI at the financial institution within your policy, especially as some of your vendors are likely already using AI or will be using it in the near future. 

With the use of AI expected to increase very rapidly over the next few years, it is imperative for management to establish guidelines for its use as early as possible to limit the potential for its misuse at your institution. 

Y&A’s Solution for Secure AI Adoption and Risk Preparedness within Financial Institutions 

In the rapidly evolving landscape of AI integration within the financial sector, striking a balance between reaping the potential benefits of this technology and practicing effective risk management can be challenging. It’s crucial to adopt a risk-ready approach to scaling AI integration in order to safeguard the future of your institution. The proliferation of AI applications shows no signs of slowing, making it wise to proactively address risks before regulatory measures come into effect. 

To streamline the process of addressing AI risk, Young & Associates offers a customizable AI policy that you can tailor to your financial institution’s specific needs. Click here to learn more about this product. 

Should you have any questions about this article, please reach out to Mike Detrow, Director of Information Technology, at mdetrow@younginc.com or contact us on our website. 

Assess, Plan, and Effectively Respond to Today’s Market Challenges

By: Jerry Sutherin, President & CEO

In today’s dynamic market, some of the biggest challenges faced by our clients include but are not limited to interest rate risk management, liquidity, capital adequacy, and commercial loan underwriting. These issues are magnified by the ability of our clients to locate, hire, and retain quality human capital to operate effectively and efficiently.

Interest Rate Risk Management

Rising or fluctuating interest rates impact your financial institution’s growth prospects in both the short and long term. Not only do interest rates pose a risk to a financial institution’s balance sheet, but they also impede the ability to effectively produce reliable financial statement forecasts. A financial institution’s Net Interest Margin (NIM) is a key component of each income statement. Being able to adequately forecast interest income as well as internal cost of funds allows an institution to produce a reliable budget. To overcome this, financial institutions must identify, measure, monitor, and control interest rate risks to meet the requirements of the Joint Policy Statement on Interest Rate Risk (IRR) and the IRR regulatory guidance. Effective control of the interest rate risk will require conducting annual independent reviews of the asset liability management (ALM) function and validating your risk measurement systems to ensure their integrity, accuracy, and reasonableness. This will also involve internal controls of loan and deposit pricing. Establishing and maintaining these controls should begin at the board level and flow through management.

Credit Risk Management

Rising interest rates have also had a profound impact on credit quality of commercial lending, one of the primary drivers of revenue for most financial institutions. The change in credit quality results in the tightening of credit standards throughout the industry and by the regulators. Being able to effectively underwrite loans and mitigate risks within a commercial loan portfolio is a function of having seasoned staff to manage these processes. Lack of quality credit talent exposes financial institutions to otherwise preventable credit risks. The dilemma for most financial institutions is finding, hiring, and maintaining experienced personnel. In some instances, this has resulted in inadequate credit presentations being prepared by unqualified individuals or loan officers underwriting their own credits for approval. The increasing burden of inflation and wages adds another layer of complexity to the mix. Many community-focused institutions are not willing or able to pay top rate for talent, which is understandable given the need and focus to remain competitive among the larger regional and national banks that continue to acquire and/or out-compete them.

Liquidity Risk Management

Another impact of a higher interest rate environment and inflation is the disintermediation of funds or liquidity from financial institutions to other financial intermediaries. Sound liquidity management is crucial for controlling your organization’s liquidity risk and managing cash flow to meet expected and unexpected cash flow needs without adversely affecting daily operations. Your financial institution should assess the range of possible outcomes of contemplated business strategies, maintain contingency funding plans, position for new opportunities, and ensure regulatory compliance and the adequacy of your risk management practices.

Capital Planning

Both interest rate risk management and liquidity management have a direct impact on the capital adequacy of all financial institutions. Capital contingency planning will ensure that your financial institution maintains the required level of capital through any realistic stress event. Periodic review of minimum capital requirements and stress tests can provide valuable insights and will maintain your standing with the regulators.

The Importance of Strategic Planning

So far, this article has only discussed the challenges faced by the financial institution industry. These obstacles are not just management issues. They are also issues that boards of directors must navigate as well.

Are there solutions? Absolutely — yes there are. Boards of directors and management must be aligned on all strategic initiatives. These objectives need to be derived and adopted by the board and conveyed to management. The most common approach is through a focused strategic planning session involving the board and management. The outcome of such a retreat will enable the board to identify goals and risks faced by the organization while also deciding on how the goals will be accomplished and the risks mitigated. This could be through the utilization of qualified internal staff or engaging outside experts to assist with each objective. An effective strategic plan will incorporate all these pieces to help guide your organization as you navigate the changing industry landscape.

Partner With Us for Success

For 45 years, Young & Associates, Inc. (www.younginc.com) has partnered with banks and credit unions across the country to provide consulting, outsourcing, and educational services to minimize their risk and maximize their success. Our services cover areas such as interest rate risk analysis, liquidity planning, assessment of capital adequacy strategic planning, regulatory assistance, internal audit, independent loan review, IT audits and penetration testing, and regulatory compliance assessment, outsourcing and training. Our team of consultants boasts an unmatched level of industry experience and is comprised of former banking executives, compliance regulators, and tenured finance professionals who have personally experienced many of the same issues you face at your organization.

For commercial credit needs, Y&A Credit Services is a full-service provider of outsourced underwriting services and credit analysis. An independent entity, Y&A Credit Services offers the same exceptional service, expertise, and integrity you’ve learned to expect from Young & Associates, Inc., and provides commercial credit underwriting and credit approval presentations, annual underwriting reviews, financial statement spreading and analysis, and approval and underwriting package reviews. We’ll work with you to improve the quality, speed, and accuracy of your lending with a solid focus on minimizing your credit risk. Our team members are experts in credit services and the financial industry and include former chief credit officers and senior credit analysts from both community and regional banks and provide full outsourced credit department services to our clients, keeping their costs low so they can remain competitive in their markets. Our seasoned credit professionals boast a combined 100+ years of experience in credit administration which helps mitigate risks while assisting our clients with safe and sound underwriting processes.

We look forward to assisting your bank or credit union in meeting these challenges head on. Find out more about the many services we provide at www.younginc.com (Young & Associates, Inc.) and www.yacreditservices.com (Y&A Credit Services). Or contact us directly by emailing Jerry Sutherin, President & CEO, at jsutherin@younginc.com or calling him directly at 330.422.3474

The Role of Loan Review in the Credit Risk Management System

By: David Reno, Director of Loan Review & Lending Services

Loans, especially non-consumer loans, typically represent the greatest level of risk on your balance sheet. Therefore, effective commercial loan portfolio management is crucial to control credit risk. It can serve as an early indicator of emerging credit risk related to lending to individual borrowers, aggregate credit exposure to related borrowers, and the overall credit risk associated with a loan portfolio. It serves as an integral part of an institution’s credit risk management system that is a continuum comprised of the following stages:

  • Well-formulated lending policies, procedures, and practices that are consistently applied, well-known to all credit and lending staff, and compliant with regulatory guidance
  • The collection and accurate credit analysis of financial and other underwriting information
  • Assignment of an accurate risk grade
  • Proper and qualified approval authorities and risk-based process
  • Correct and thorough documentation
  • Pre-closing preparation and loan closing
  • Post-closing credit administration
  • Internal annual loan review
  • External/independent loan review
  • Timely problem loan identification and management
  • Proper calculation of the ALLL
  • Collection and loss mitigation

Effective and efficient loan reviews can help an institution better understand its loan portfolio and identify potential risk exposures to contribute to the formulation of a risk-based lending and loan administration strategy.

Regulatory Background

The OCC, FRB, FDIC, and NCUA issued the Interagency Guidance on Credit Risk Review Systems in FIL-55-2020 dated May 8, 2020, which aligns with Interagency Guidelines Establishing Standards for Safety and Soundness. This guidance is relevant to all institutions supervised by the agencies and replaces Attachment 1 of the 2006 Interagency Policy Statement on the Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses. The final guidance details the objectives of an effective credit risk review system and discusses such topics as sound management of credit risk, a system of independent, ongoing credit review, and appropriate communication regarding the performance of the institution’s loan portfolio to its management and board of directors.

Credit Risk Rating (or Grading) Framework

The foundation for any effective credit risk review system is accurate and timely risk ratings. These risk ratings are used to assess credit quality and identify or confirm problem loans. The system generally places primary reliance on the lending staff to assign accurate, timely risk ratings and identify emerging loan problems. However, the lending personnel’s assignment of risk ratings is typically subject to review by qualified and independent peers, managers, loan committee(s), internal credit review departments, or external credit review consultants that provide a more objective assessment of credit quality.

Elements of an Effective Credit Risk Review System

The starting point is a written credit risk review policy that is updated and approved at least annually by the institution’s board of directors or board committee to evidence its support of and commitment to maintaining an effective system. Effective policies include a description of the overall risk rating framework and responsibilities for loan review.

An effective credit risk review policy addresses the following elements:

Qualifications of Credit Risk Review Personnel. The level of experience and expertise for credit risk review personnel is expected to be commensurate with the nature of the risk and complexity of the loan portfolio, and they should possess a proper level of education, experience, and credit training, together with knowledge of generally sound lending practices, the institution’s lending guidelines, and relevant laws, regulations, and supervisory guidance.

Independence of Credit Risk Review Personnel. Because of their frequent contact with borrowers, loan officers, risk officers, and line staff are primarily responsible for continuous portfolio analysis and prompt identification and reporting of problem loans to proactively identify potential problems. While larger institutions may establish a separate credit review department, smaller institutions may use an independent committee of outside directors or other qualified institution staff. These individuals should not be involved in originating or approving the specific credits being assessed, and their compensation should not be influenced by the assigned risk ratings. Regardless of the approach taken, it is prudent for the credit risk review function to report directly to the institution’s board of directors or a committee thereof. Senior management should be responsible for administrative functions.

The institution’s board of directors may outsource the role to a third-party vendor; however, the board is ultimately responsible for maintaining a sound credit risk review system.

Scope of Reviews
Comprehensive and effective reviews cover all segments of the loan portfolio that pose significant credit risk or concentrations. The review process should consider industry standards for credit risk review coverage, which should be consistent with the institution’s size, complexity, loan types, risk profile, and risk management practices. This consideration helps to verify whether the review scope is appropriate.

An effective scope of review is risk-based and typically includes:

  • Loans over a predetermined size along with a sample of smaller loans
  • Loans with higher risk indicators, such as low credit scores or approved as exceptions to policy
  • Segments of loan portfolios, including retail, with similar risk characteristics, such as those related to borrower risk (e.g., credit history), transaction risk (e.g., product and/or collateral type), etc.
  • Segments of the loan portfolio experiencing rapid growth
  • Past due, nonaccrual, renewed, and restructured loans
  • Loans previously criticized or adversely classified
  • Loans to insiders, affiliates, or related parties
  • Loans constituting concentrations of credit risk and other loans affected by common repayment factors

 Review of Findings and Follow-Up

A discussion of credit risk review findings should be held with management, credit, and lending staff and should include noted deficiencies, identified weaknesses, and any existing or planned corrective actions and associated timelines.

Communication and Distribution of Results

The results of a credit risk review are presented in a summary analysis with detailed supporting information that substantiates the concluded risk ratings assigned to the loans reviewed. The summary analysis is then periodically presented to the board of directors or board committee to maintain accountability and drive results. Comprehensive reporting includes trend analysis regarding the overall quality of the loan portfolio, the adequacy of and adherence to internal policies and procedures, the quality of underwriting and risk identification, compliance with laws and regulations, and management’s response to substantive criticisms or recommendations.

Summary Insights

The back-testing that is performed by the loan review process is necessary to ensure that an institution has in place a comprehensive and effective credit risk management system and that an institution acknowledges and practically applies the established framework of its unique but compliant credit culture.

An effective external loan review process is not so much a traditional audit exercise as it is an advisory process that produces meaningful dialogue between the review firm and the institution that seeks to identify and interpret various aspects of credit risk to minimize risk of loss by implementing industry best practices, maintaining regulatory compliance, and supporting the institution’s long-term viability in continuing to serve the needs of its customers and community.

For more information on the role of loan review in the credit risk management system, contact David Reno, Director of Loan Review & Lending Services, at dreno@younginc.com or 330.422.3455.

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